Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59180ebe2e6df1eee8d1c7f7523166004d3333dc926a4feb36f7b421eef2d6d8

Rebuilt 34 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $111,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,345 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	24,974$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.97	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	24,052$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	13c	12,631$1,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,704.3	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes	1c	10,956$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.31	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-32%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8a16…e158backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	7,543$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.97	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	5,420$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.61	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	8c	5,200$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.07	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	4,872$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.4	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,321$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.24	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	7c	3,990$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.3	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	14c	3,940$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.2	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a84…bfa1backed Yes	4c	3,853$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.33	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes	14c	3,501$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.03	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	3,359$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.89	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7e…59d2backed Yes	14c	3,100$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	9c	2,474$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.96	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,283$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	2c	2,029$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	14c	2,015$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.09	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	6c	1,744$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.82	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	1,713$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.58	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66d0…c8f3backed Yes	11c	1,641$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.06	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	18cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	3c	1,316$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	1,276$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	1,227$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.08	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	4c	1,053$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.84	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a1f…d43cbacked Yes	2c	1,045$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	57	10.5%6 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	2c	1,017$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.53	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01f…574ebacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	103	12.6%13 W · 90 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x304b…57b2backed Yes	1c	999.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+105%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…fea1backed Yes	14c	999.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed Yes	1c	999.95$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	110	9.1%10 W · 100 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x18d7…64ccbacked Yes	13c	999.67$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.6	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	969.28$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.64	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe87…83d6backed Yes	5c	953.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Yes	14c	897.03$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	879$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.72	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes	3c	825$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.33	102	7.8%8 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	1c	800$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	2c	786.93$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf084…4b0ebacked Yes	2c	749.97$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	6c	747.06$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.31	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2959…bdf1backed Yes	14c	715.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.2	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda6f…e619backed Yes	2c	701.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.95	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	13c	700$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	6c	700$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.9	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	8c	690$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.7	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…5ab8backed Yes	3c	651.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8513…75abbacked Yes	15c	647.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-89.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8585…cbf4backed Yes	10c	600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	120	9.2%11 W · 109 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	7c	600$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb5…c09ebacked Yes	2c	580.95$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bc…96c0backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	104	4.8%5 W · 99 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0568…f532backed Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	15cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	12c	499.97$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedd2…a09cbacked Yes	14c	414$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.96	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	5cpaid	+700.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b57…5975backed Yes	15c	371$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.65	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c54…1d08backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b4e…d839backed Yes	7c	300$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	85	5.9%5 W · 80 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ef…12ffbacked Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…d388backed Yes	7c	291.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf52b…5bf3backed Yes	8c	286.49$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.92	76	7.9%6 W · 70 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	7c	250$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	15c	250$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0994…d307backed Yes	10c	248.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.22	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fab…a52fbacked Yes	9c	208.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.92	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x107b…f694backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c6…5587backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8147…294cbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	56	26.8%15 W · 41 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9dc…6900backed Yes	10c	197.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf657…d8cebacked Yes	14c	191.93$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.87	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x029d…8d3dbacked Yes	15c	179.6$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.94	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb99c…177abacked Yes	14c	178.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	12c	150$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0412…d000backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	14c	125.91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	10c	120.35$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9457…76d8backed Yes	11c	110$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b6…9ff5backed Yes	15c	106.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	84	20.2%17 W · 67 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	136	14.7%20 W · 116 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4288…00e8backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223e…184ebacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	66	12.1%8 W · 58 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6643…771abacked Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6a…7155backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	100	13%13 W · 87 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf841…2ba5backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	150	21.3%32 W · 118 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4261…9fc5backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	71	16.9%12 W · 59 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe056…970bbacked Yes	15c	82.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4222…43dabacked Yes	13c	80$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2245…77e4backed Yes	15c	80$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc3…4972backed Yes	14c	80$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	212	42.5%90 W · 122 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb74…651dbacked Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event