Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a60e9b29a898f80d3acfbe8e7beccd2daae54e3888055a4baf5493d22058b03

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $881,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $881,504 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x274c…4824backed Yes	0c	59,283$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	50,969$1,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,310.8	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	45,432$1,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,873.36	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	14c	42,739$6,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,064.39	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	30,900$1,646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,645.97	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee4…9d92backed Yes	0c	24,782$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.56	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c96…1959backed Yes	2c	18,826$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.36	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	5c	16,421$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810.37	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	7c	15,835$1,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,145.03	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes	0c	14,962$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	0cpaid	+2,531.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	10,794$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.57	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	10,776$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.74	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	13c	10,591$1,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,428.99	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	9,868$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c1…1215backed Yes	13c	8,745$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116.01	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	8,704$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	6c	7,687$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.95	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff2…9070backed Yes	1c	7,029$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.7	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0b6…90a8backed Yes	2c	6,671$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.45	53	13.2%7 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	10c	6,624$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	6,094$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	5,669$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.98	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6a…7155backed Yes	4c	5,643$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	100	13%13 W · 87 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	3c	5,526$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.57	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	4c	5,230$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.87	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	5,214$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.1	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	0c	5,122$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	4c	5,022$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.42	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	4,918$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.85	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	17c	4,810$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.36	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	0c	4,540$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.58	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	4,255$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.69	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes	2c	4,197$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.4	56	19.6%11 W · 45 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedd2…a09cbacked Yes	1c	3,961$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.15	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	5cpaid	+700.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4320…a05ebacked Yes	0c	3,858$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.43	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9447…91f2backed Yes	0c	3,811$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	3,756$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.82	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…42debacked Yes	9c	3,402$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	1c	3,371$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.44	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	17c	3,357$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.83	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	3,224$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.36	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	8c	3,143$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.03	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x853d…9e2cbacked Yes	0c	3,101$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf370…ce25backed Yes	1c	3,061$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.46	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	6cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9f…19b7backed Yes	2c	2,942$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	18cpaid	-12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb614…2a44backed Yes	17c	2,905$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	113	39.8%45 W · 68 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x185f…aa9dbacked Yes	3c	2,896$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.34	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d9…0940backed Yes	14c	2,836$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes	3c	2,781$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.57	158	19%30 W · 128 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	6c	2,739$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.71	89	15.7%14 W · 75 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x478e…a576backed Yes	18c	2,730$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.77	96	16.7%16 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2094…16d0backed Yes	4c	2,722$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c2…6b54backed Yes	2c	2,636$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebad…f22bbacked Yes	4c	2,628$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.86	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	5c	2,624$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.33	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	11c	2,526$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.68	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes	2c	2,458$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.79	251	27.1%68 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	12c	2,425$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.13	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8556…fad9backed Yes	4c	2,397$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	12c	2,339$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.37	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	3c	2,326$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	2c	2,242$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.89	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ce…8884backed Yes	16c	2,051$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.85	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes	2c	2,047$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.07	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…491dbacked Yes	1c	2,036$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes	4c	2,023$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.21	79	7.6%6 W · 73 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	9c	2,021$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.77	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe380…70e2backed Yes	3c	2,016$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.9	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	5c	1,999$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.58	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	7c	1,984$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	12c	1,928$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.64	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dfa…e524backed Yes	5c	1,900$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	2cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	2c	1,857$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.3	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16a8…7d0cbacked Yes	1c	1,857$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	2c	1,798$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.35	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aaa…c18dbacked Yes	12c	1,735$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.43	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+219.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5047backed Yes	1c	1,720$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	156	5.8%9 W · 147 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+58%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x028b…06bcbacked Yes	4c	1,670$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.19	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	4c	1,656$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.11	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	3c	1,600$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.71	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1735…0319backed Yes	7c	1,591$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.18	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	1,575$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.31	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes	27c	1,570$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	8c	1,568$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.85	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	3c	1,539$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.18	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	3c	1,500$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.77	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	3c	1,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb30a…250ebacked Yes	2c	1,500$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	2c	1,477$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d4…0e8bbacked Yes	5c	1,433$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.76	54	13%7 W · 47 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+93.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	1,366$974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.95	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	1c	1,365$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.93	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a5c…d622backed Yes	6c	1,359$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.37	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	11c	1,355$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	6c	1,337$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…d019backed Yes	16c	1,329$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.99	78	11.5%9 W · 69 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1be…6b4fbacked Yes	3c	1,314$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4142…79e6backed Yes	4c	1,281$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bf2…15aebacked Yes	2c	1,255$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Yes	13c	1,234$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.26	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event