TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ecb…a693

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
241
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Cricket, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1224.9%6 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+213.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.15
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.6
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+71.2%+$7.84
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.78
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.08
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.59
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.57
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+1,398.6%+$547.27
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$28.92
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.48
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.76
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.62
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+27,585.9%+$4,850.16
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$68.06
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27.97
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39.5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$71.03
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST348.8%3 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.89
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$109.22
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$38.45
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32.92
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.41
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.26
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.14
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.83
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+900%+$90
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+515.3%+$121.93
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.7
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.34
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.97
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.14
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.87
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.66
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$52.07
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST205%1 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-80.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments (BO3)backed Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Veroja (BO3)backed Veroja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.68
Dota 2: yache123 vs Veroja (BO5)backed yache123 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Most Wanted (BO5)backed Most Wanted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26.84
Dota 2: Ivory vs Veroja (BO5)backed Veroja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.73
Dota 2: AVULUS vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)backed VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Lynx (BO3)backed L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Spirit Academy (BO3)backed Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$62.4
Dota 2: yache123 vs Komodo (BO3)backed Komodo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$53.52
Dota 2: Most Wanted vs Kalmychata (BO3)backed Most Wanted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Kalmychata (BO3)backed L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$38.22
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Most Wanted (BO3)backed Most Wanted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team (BO3)backed Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30.87
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Kalmychata (BO3)backed Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+292.2%+$410.96
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Spirit Academy (BO3)backed Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$44.39
Dota 2: Most Wanted vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)backed Most Wanted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14.04
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.1
Dota 2: Runa Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Runa Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$55.49
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Amaru Gaming (BO3)backed Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: M1X KS vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked M1X KS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.1
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs MASONIC (BO3)backed MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners (BO3)backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.41
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Keyd (BO3)backed Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.68
Counter-Strike: Truck Drivers vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3)backed Sangal ALTERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.49
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$87.21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.11
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs WINNERS (BO3)backed WINNERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
Counter-Strike: CyberDynamo vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)backed Team CS2NEWS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$42.49
Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs SHPL (BO3)backed SHPL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3)backed megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.76
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports (BO3)backed Prestige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Counter-Strike: Team zoneR vs Team buster (BO3)backed Team zoneR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-81%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick2cpaid+876.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.68
Patriots vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$51.33
Cardinals vs. Bengalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.06
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.75
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$14.9
Will Everton win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$19.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Tate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.