Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c258139c85e5860a14c2d40b7020c432812828ff791a526e2482c39d71b0752

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $895,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $895,727 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0914…9c93backed Yes	0c	173,102$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.1	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	102,306$4,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,970.03	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	0c	27,000$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	4c	25,458$935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.43	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	17,470$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.41	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	15,226$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.93	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	14,266$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.59	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	5c	13,254$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.16	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	6c	13,113$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844.23	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	3c	11,421$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.64	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	7c	11,007$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.15	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	18c	10,518$1,893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,892.98	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	5c	10,063$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.99	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	10,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	9,586$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.81	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	4c	9,385$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.1	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	5c	9,154$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	6c	9,024$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.63	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	4c	8,667$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.82	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	6c	8,626$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.12	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	5c	8,526$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.97	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	6c	7,881$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.94	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes	2c	7,777$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.09	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	5c	7,544$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	13c	7,408$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.98	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	6c	7,264$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.2	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	8c	7,132$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.15	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	7c	7,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.23	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7094…2c4dbacked Yes	5c	6,621$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae2…0ddebacked Yes	9c	6,421$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.28	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+3.6wins	+0.19per pick	23cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	7c	5,628$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.75	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	3c	5,193$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.58	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7db…8aadbacked Yes	5c	5,049$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-89.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	4c	5,000$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x063d…35c7backed Yes	1c	4,683$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	65	23.1%15 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	7c	4,615$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x124a…b3adbacked Yes	7c	4,594$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	10c	4,264$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.18	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	7c	4,133$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.63	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	4,100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	6c	4,050$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.6	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	2c	4,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6af…0be4backed Yes	5c	3,916$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.08	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	3,907$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.38	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1a…86febacked Yes	6c	3,893$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.4	47	6.4%3 W · 44 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa657…00bfbacked Yes	5c	3,862$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	5c	3,730$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.01	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6911…ede3backed Yes	11c	3,610$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.56	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	16cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1851…ae47backed Yes	1c	3,596$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.46	43	14%6 W · 37 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0228…a700backed Yes	14c	3,511$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	6c	3,400$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.95	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c6a…c86abacked Yes	7c	3,275$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.08	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	3c	3,269$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.52	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	5c	3,200$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.6	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	4c	3,176$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.53	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc736…e547backed Yes	10c	3,075$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	4c	3,057$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.16	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	2,945$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.61	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dd…e40cbacked Yes	7c	2,941$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac28…0d06backed Yes	6c	2,895$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.55	93	7.5%7 W · 86 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	7c	2,886$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.83	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b3f…7d8fbacked Yes	8c	2,861$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1038…fb01backed Yes	8c	2,861$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1af7…7fe5backed Yes	4c	2,568$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	4c	2,548$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.46	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	7c	2,537$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.5	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	9c	2,533$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.36	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	3c	2,512$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.07	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	2c	2,500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefa1…5aa4backed Yes	10c	2,473$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.66	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	2,357$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	7c	2,329$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.09	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes	1c	2,320$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	5c	2,311$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.62	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	4c	2,214$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	5c	2,200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2eb…83b2backed Yes	3c	2,189$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79f7…087cbacked Yes	2c	2,185$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.09	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	10c	2,182$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.56	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes	5c	2,161$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.29	62	22.6%14 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9406…4750backed Yes	8c	2,147$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.17	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	3c	2,081$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f2…1362backed Yes	9c	2,077$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.79	48	10.4%5 W · 43 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	20c	2,044$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed Yes	7c	2,006$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	50	22%11 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	18c	2,000$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.2	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	1c	2,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f0…529ebacked Yes	9c	2,000$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	3c	2,000$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.4	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	1,984$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	17c	1,977$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.09	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x304b…57b2backed Yes	3c	1,976$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.27	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+105%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,911$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.81	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	10c	1,849$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.58	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	4c	1,844$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.7	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	8c	1,798$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.46	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	11c	1,782$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	3c	1,700$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.28	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	7c	1,657$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.37	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes	1c	1,626$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.39	63	12.7%8 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event