Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f6733be4178cdf3daa5591f69edfe7e48b768469afaffa8417874294d22b6c8

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $335,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,254 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf6af…0be4backed Yes	1c	27,643$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.85	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	20,320$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.85	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	16,438$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.79	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	0c	13,530$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.95	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	13,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	12,824$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes	0c	12,333$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	38	0%0 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	11,687$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4b…5166backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f1…167ebacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	0c	9,709$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	0c	8,135$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	7,794$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.16	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	0c	7,716$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	1c	6,920$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfba4…7377backed Yes	1c	6,163$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	2c	6,064$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.62	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	3c	5,756$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.33	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a48…e362backed Yes	1c	5,474$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	1c	5,283$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.96	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	5,270$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.27	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0914…9c93backed Yes	1c	5,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	1c	4,837$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.68	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	4,771$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	4,172$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05aa…e3c3backed Yes	0c	4,121$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	+201.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	2c	4,000$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.68	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33cc…1dc5backed Yes	0c	3,906$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.51	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	0c	3,820$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,617$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.55	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0352…1d05backed Yes	1c	3,475$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	4c	3,198$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.77	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dd…e40cbacked Yes	5c	3,018$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18e1…52dcbacked Yes	5c	2,860$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-88.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	2c	2,722$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.57	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	3c	2,622$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.98	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	1c	2,397$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.16	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1a…86febacked Yes	2c	2,303$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.65	47	6.4%3 W · 44 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	3c	2,291$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.17	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	1c	2,209$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	2c	2,160$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes	5c	2,092$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e1e…2e21backed Yes	1c	2,017$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd441…dd08backed Yes	1c	2,017$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	2,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	2c	2,000$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	1c	1,827$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	1,628$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.44	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	2c	1,586$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.41	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	2c	1,514$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.54	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	1,476$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089a…8486backed Yes	1c	1,411$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf111…2a81backed Yes	2c	1,400$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	88	5.7%5 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes	2c	1,325$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.65	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f52…3785backed Yes	4c	1,308$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.68	76	18.4%14 W · 62 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	1c	1,300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5e…1defbacked Yes	1c	1,158$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9549…58b5backed Yes	2c	1,136$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	1,113$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.47	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	2c	1,073$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.38	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	1,055$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.96	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…a669backed Yes	4c	1,001$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c4…953cbacked Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dd3…f0efbacked Yes	6c	1,000$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.75	53	11.3%6 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	3c	999.95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…f604backed Yes	5c	999.56$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.45	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	1c	991.88$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.89	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	1c	983.55$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	4c	965.02$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.11	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22c3…b145backed Yes	1c	949.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	64	14.1%9 W · 55 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	3c	900$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	3c	889.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.15	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes	2c	861.87$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.48	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+109.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40f3…30d7backed Yes	4c	859$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8e…39b0backed Yes	2c	843.76$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	39	7.7%3 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-28%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	2c	812.58$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	4c	808.52$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.1	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	2c	711.6$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8f…bc5cbacked Yes	4c	706$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.26	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87de…c1e3backed Yes	3c	699.98$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	2c	659.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59c2…cbabbacked Yes	2c	574.29$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	54	25.9%14 W · 40 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92dc…7916backed Yes	4c	563.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+215.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	5c	558.08$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.11	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dca…c48dbacked Yes	4c	535.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	5c	524.11$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.57	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa13…9d51backed Yes	2c	514.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	4c	497.3$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.49	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014b…243bbacked Yes	5c	492.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	8cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba66…79d8backed Yes	5c	418.06$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.28	115	19.1%22 W · 93 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01a4…896dbacked Yes	3c	392$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe83…3668backed Yes	5c	381.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4982…fe01backed Yes	4c	370.1$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	115	29.6%34 W · 81 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes	4c	352.71$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	412	20.6%85 W · 327 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc78c…ea17backed Yes	5c	347$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29f8…2cc0backed Yes	5c	332$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event