Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x777809ed6f165bae0a60cc94957299627fa2ac4a5e9815e13cd02384ebc46490

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,423,311

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,423,311 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	65c	23,685$15,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,486.56	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	71c	17,974$12,738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,236.07	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	59c	17,749$10,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,272.87	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	35c	17,500$6,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,348.42	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x690b…9145backed No	38c	17,000$6,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,459.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e75…4e58backed Yes	62c	17,000$10,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,459.93	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	38c	16,867$6,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,441.4	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	52c	16,206$8,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,708.16	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	29c	14,511$4,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,198.17	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	51c	13,432$6,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,572.36	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	16c	13,043$2,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,895.3	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	33c	12,500$4,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,391.22	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	16c	11,911$1,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,970.3	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	66c	11,272$7,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,791.74	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	24c	10,622$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,121.76	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	45c	9,971$4,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,490.76	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	45c	8,229$3,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,703.03	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	33c	7,884$2,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,258.95	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	48c	7,877$3,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,078.8	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89c6…6f63backed No	74c	7,580$5,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,579.82	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	48c	7,515$3,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,939.64	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	46c	7,319$3,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,917.77	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	21c	7,154$1,527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,627.06	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	49c	6,508$3,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,311.55	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a0…9884backed Yes	56c	5,452$3,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,408.32	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa657…00bfbacked Yes	43c	5,355$2,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,071.36	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	19c	5,340$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,349.59	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	69c	5,036$3,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,483.41	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	37c	4,851$1,791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,059.92	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…e41dbacked Yes	20c	4,800$936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,864	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	13cpaid	+207%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	43c	4,664$2,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,643.9	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	36c	4,540$1,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,925.65	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	13c	4,486$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,923.06	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	16c	4,478$722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,756.29	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	54c	4,223$2,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,932.93	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffb…119dbacked No	0c	4,114$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeeb9…6f7abacked No	72c	4,083$2,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,929.81	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8aa…a2ccbacked Yes	12c	4,042$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,542.01	75	36%27 W · 48 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	39c	4,007$1,581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,425.6	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No	1c	4,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	3c	4,000$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,879.8	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	59c	3,789$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,538.67	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1111…ca23backed Yes	64c	3,705$2,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,338.79	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+52%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	40c	3,646$1,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,170.15	195	50.3%98 W · 97 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf70f…1b9abacked No	54c	3,639$1,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,962.3	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	48c	3,546$1,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,841.03	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x760e…119ebacked No	28c	3,518$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.86	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed No	49c	3,470$1,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,698.23	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed No	61c	3,417$2,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,076.49	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2959…bdf1backed Yes	12c	3,213$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,823.77	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	40c	3,105$1,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,868.46	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	26c	3,072$799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,273.26	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	25c	3,016$751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,265.83	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	19c	2,950$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,375.09	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	28c	2,939$835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,103.88	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f1…167ebacked No	1c	2,915$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.34	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc079…dec4backed Yes	79c	2,788$2,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.24	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	25c	2,735$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,056.87	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f72…664abacked Yes	22c	2,687$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,106.76	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.15per pick	26cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes	25c	2,667$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,992.22	177	28.2%50 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	52c	2,661$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,372.29	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	53c	2,599$1,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,223.03	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	14c	2,578$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,219.19	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes	15c	2,532$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,149.68	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	17c	2,532$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,108.42	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	13c	2,500$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,175	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed No	48c	2,436$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,175.37	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	34c	2,396$824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,571.54	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	75c	2,379$1,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,786.45	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	5c	2,361$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,249.59	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…e564backed Yes	36c	2,211$797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,413.86	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	9c	2,200$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,999.15	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes	28c	2,195$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,570.55	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	30c	2,170$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,527.97	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes	49c	2,152$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,101.93	62	22.6%14 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a5…64ffbacked Yes	41c	2,059$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,208.93	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	47c	2,056$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,094.31	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	20c	2,051$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,646.27	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	31c	2,041$641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400.54	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	22c	2,019$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,580.73	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	39c	2,004$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,219.61	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7191…aa3ebacked No	66c	2,000$1,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,313.13	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,939.95	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900e…be66backed No	71c	2,000$1,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,424.15	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-5.2wins	-0.18per pick	63cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	16c	2,000$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,672.93	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	25c	1,997$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,494.05	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ce…8884backed Yes	65c	1,925$1,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.96	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f73…b38dbacked No	75c	1,873$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c93…09b9backed Yes	16c	1,849$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,559.13	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	41c	1,843$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.4	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x289c…79bcbacked No	2c	1,825$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.89	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb614…2a44backed Yes	21c	1,768$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,388.93	113	39.8%45 W · 68 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	26c	1,766$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,314.32	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d48…ba3cbacked No	14c	1,765$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.97	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	62c	1,760$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,089.82	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	14c	1,734$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,486.17	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	16c	1,710$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,431.18	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab6…6099backed Yes	48c	1,708$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$889.67	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x713b…f43cbacked Yes	45c	1,690$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$932.2	105	36.2%38 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event