TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89c6…6f63

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 54 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$40.66
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.22
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+145.6%+$32.6
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.99
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.93
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,847Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$2,727.97
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
T20 World Cup: Canada vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$52.23
T20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$200
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$606.28
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,566.57
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,579.82
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100.1
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$125.07
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$150.14
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$102.5
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$150.03
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100.21
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick25cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$109.2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+900%+$3,600
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$937Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+113.4%+$1,063.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.