Token Launches · resolved market
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79d3d1755f959bceb57a5f05fdcd8c85ae2a16b88170e56662b33c0dea76f2a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $813,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $886,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $813,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 900 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc82f…460dbacked Yes | 76c | 38,077$28,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,952 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked Yes | 48c | 17,407$8,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,306.63 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 15c | 17,302$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.52 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1921backed No | 15c | 16,748$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,314.63 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1616backed Yes | 65c | 15,396$10,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,012.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed No | 69c | 13,604$9,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…0e18backed Yes | 33c | 12,176$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 39c | 12,126$4,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,437.45 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 45c | 11,891$5,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,548.98 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed No | 50c | 11,689$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,838.72 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…9dc8backed No | 76c | 11,489$8,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 74c | 10,365$7,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.4 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…2e36backed No | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…6d4bbacked Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 42c | 8,582$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,988.6 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…32c6backed Yes | 63c | 8,360$5,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,236.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b445backed No | 45c | 7,971$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.37 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 27c | 7,620$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,571.97 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 36c | 7,256$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.01 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes | 17c | 6,714$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.23 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Yes | 50c | 6,703$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.3 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 6,700$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 25c | 6,029$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.12 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20ff…4d98backed No | 68c | 5,845$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…41fbbacked No | 45c | 5,843$2,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…fdbdbacked Yes | 45c | 5,834$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed No | 41c | 5,780$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,433.7 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f9…c5e8backed No | 26c | 5,509$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,062.28 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +17.9wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…5317backed Yes | 66c | 5,500$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…ca23backed No | 44c | 5,309$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.89 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 57c | 5,230$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.88 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed No | 49c | 5,081$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.88 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed No | 70c | 5,000$3,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…ba8cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…b36ebacked Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 26c | 4,707$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.24 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…6bf8backed No | 75c | 4,613$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.85 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +10.5wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…7b2fbacked Yes | 50c | 4,604$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 41c | 4,501$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.74 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 44c | 4,409$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.62 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…396fbacked No | 42c | 4,317$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked No | 45c | 4,226$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.07 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…3c88backed No | 70c | 4,000$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…bb60backed No | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed No | 72c | 3,714$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,560$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Yes | 65c | 3,519$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 60c | 3,510$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.19 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…1917backed No | 40c | 3,315$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.69 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…0389backed No | 77c | 3,276$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.51 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a2…b175backed No | 32c | 3,160$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…a442backed Yes | 30c | 3,151$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked No | 73c | 3,131$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.33 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…806bbacked Yes | 56c | 3,099$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.89 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…7fcbbacked No | 33c | 3,056$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34f…b81abacked No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…3ad3backed No | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 55c | 2,931$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.58 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…678fbacked Yes | 35c | 2,872$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…9e26backed Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.11 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…19e1backed Yes | 66c | 2,693$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 47c | 2,679$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.68 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 57c | 2,609$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.21 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe643…b688backed No | 33c | 2,609$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked No | 40c | 2,503$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 15cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2f62backed No | 23c | 2,500$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 31cpaid | +215.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 72c | 2,493$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.12 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…fb3dbacked Yes | 47c | 2,368$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…9603backed No | 26c | 2,232$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.63 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae57…45e2backed No | 50c | 2,219$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…5febbacked No | 49c | 2,200$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.24 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…8884backed No | 54c | 2,194$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 72c | 2,181$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.2 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 61c | 2,141$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…30f0backed No | 36c | 2,139$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.91 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…2523backed No | 23c | 2,094$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +335.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…ac2bbacked No | 54c | 2,093$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.84 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a47…740bbacked No | 40c | 2,026$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked No | 36c | 2,015$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.17 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…6f63backed No | 47c | 2,000$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked No | 43c | 2,000$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.55 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…b42ebacked No | 13c | 1,999$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,997$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed No | 64c | 1,924$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…74d8backed No | 60c | 1,886$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.82 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed No | 48c | 1,884$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked No | 49c | 1,851$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.44 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 27c | 1,849$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.18 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6581…0206backed Yes | 66c | 1,832$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.03 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4902…7214backed No | 47c | 1,800$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdf…0971backed No | 12c | 1,762$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…ba3bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,752$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 39c | 1,710$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.31 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x40a8…7a0abacked No | 38c | 1,705$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…e62abacked Yes | 68c | 1,700$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…439dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cab…417abacked No | 51c | 1,693$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?this page
- Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.