Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e245cb562bbc0e4bf2e3d2beb24f02941e9cbe3579219a12441e8c95edc44b6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $474,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $555,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,347 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd8f3…080fbacked Yes	4c	96,923$3,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,743.08	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3344…9175backed Yes	0c	20,122$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1616backed Yes	7c	12,150$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.05	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7383…bd0bbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4930…82abbacked Yes	4c	9,971$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.13	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5f…403ebacked Yes	13c	7,000$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b01…95a9backed Yes	0c	6,267$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.83	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-90%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ba…ff39backed Yes	2c	5,516$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd008…135dbacked Yes	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	4,613$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.98	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf726…e4e8backed Yes	7c	4,457$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	1c	4,266$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.09	142	4.2%6 W · 136 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa77f…e578backed Yes	14c	4,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	3,985$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.38	244	2%5 W · 239 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes	1c	3,896$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.26	63	14.3%9 W · 54 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	3c	3,300$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.88	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	2,906$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.58	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1e…65a5backed Yes	14c	2,897$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes	2c	2,419$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.73	51	11.8%6 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	-20%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	3c	2,279$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.45	119	0.8%1 W · 118 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-85.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6413…64adbacked Yes	2c	2,225$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	2c	2,126$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.31	123	4.1%5 W · 118 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	2c	2,100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.46	124	3.2%4 W · 120 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	3c	2,100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.2	112	2.7%3 W · 109 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdef0…3d06backed Yes	13c	1,970$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.1	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	33cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	1,890$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.81	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	3c	1,886$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.41	209	4.3%9 W · 200 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	3c	1,765$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.09	134	3.7%5 W · 129 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7c…c987backed Yes	3c	1,749$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb77…023ebacked Yes	2c	1,675$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.69	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20b1…49fabacked Yes	8c	1,297$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd4…1b34backed Yes	6c	1,231$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.4	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-66%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	4c	1,200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	75	4%3 W · 72 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5b…ee17backed Yes	7c	1,145$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.56	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-7.3wins	-0.26per pick	40cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	3c	1,100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.3	171	2.9%5 W · 166 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xad88…662dbacked Yes	2c	1,070$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.45	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	4c	1,040$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.49	349	5.7%20 W · 329 L	-25.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a0c…625ebacked Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe58f…b1adbacked Yes	5c	1,000$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed No	78c	966.48$752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.7	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe6d1…63a2backed Yes	12c	829.28$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.51	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f6a…be7ebacked Yes	11c	700$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5e0…2c15backed Yes	8c	700$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-61%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb045…d8bcbacked Yes	14c	599.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd946…ccf7backed Yes	17c	598.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.67	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	4c	560.34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.48	166	2.4%4 W · 162 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb19…0227backed Yes	4c	544.4$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbed…e4a9backed Yes	10c	490.81$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.08	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	22cpaid	-84.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x578f…f112backed Yes	5c	472.69$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.91	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+5.0wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Yes	10c	400$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31e…bab3backed Yes	4c	399$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e2…e11abacked Yes	3c	307.28$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa125…2761backed Yes	14c	269.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.1	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc123…115cbacked No	60c	269$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.6	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09b…d14cbacked Yes	15c	264.85$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e2…06fbbacked Yes	17c	245.32$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.51	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0920…3901backed Yes	17c	231.32$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	20c	215.86$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.74	463	20.5%95 W · 368 L	-68.1wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x59fe…f89dbacked Yes	42c	215.83$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21be…ece1backed Yes	19c	209$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8b…3881backed No	54c	205.79$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.66	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2a…4334backed Yes	13c	200$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x94eb…809dbacked Yes	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	25c	198.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.41	254	22%56 W · 198 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd502…4974backed No	77c	198$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.54	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadc7…a728backed Yes	26c	193.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7788…7983backed Yes	10c	180$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee98…113dbacked Yes	16c	180$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b2…567cbacked Yes	23c	180$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-23%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed No	74c	168.46$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.8	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.9wins	+0.20per pick	43cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe54d…c913backed Yes	40c	165$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed Yes	23c	160$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04da…dc10backed No	61c	156$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.84	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed81…82eebacked Yes	15c	155$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfec…09a7backed Yes	39c	153$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.67	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	28c	150$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.5	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+98.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…8748backed No	72c	139.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.41	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+8.2wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8032…1b20backed No	72c	138.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.52	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab4…7b5abacked Yes	46c	135$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.65	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6885…3c9bbacked Yes	8c	134.39$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ed…09dabacked No	59c	131.96$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.34	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+4.0wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+51.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bb2…58dcbacked No	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd70…9b2cbacked Yes	15c	130$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5240…f84ebacked No	78c	128.42$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.42	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed No	78c	127.74$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.34	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ea…3a60backed Yes	10c	120$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b57…9883backed Yes	10c	115$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91d1…3579backed Yes	9c	111.6$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	13c	111.2$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	357	12.9%46 W · 311 L	-29.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x288b…521ebacked Yes	17c	107.16$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa007…0a2cbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2896…2e00backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb81…24f9backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f5…c8efbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcdd…cd94backed Yes	13c	99.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5490…1806backed Yes	41c	97.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.95	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed7…b0a5backed No	77c	96$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.08	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb5…196fbacked Yes	12c	91.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x10ed…aa19backed Yes	14c	89.21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…0613backed No	78c	75$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+3.1wins	+0.31per pick	59cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?this page
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event