TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ed7…b0a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3641.7%15 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$666
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.26
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.26
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$29.64
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.23
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$50.02
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130.78
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.48
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$615.51
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+170.3%+$40.95
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.42
Will "Frankenstein" win Best Production Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$78.75
Will "Sinners" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$310.04
Will "The Perfect Neighbour" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$76
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$110.05
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$73.04
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.3%+$158.81
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$21.6
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$92.91
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$25.52
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$88.02
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$72.02
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$158.76
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.26
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$176.64
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.9
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$142.75
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.84
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$148.5
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$257.09
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$85.4
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$54
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$599.58
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$221.25
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.5
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.32
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.84
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$168.64
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+334.8%+$420.42
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$509.74
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$19.78
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$33
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$95.71
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$38.95
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$43.45
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$46.06
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$21.87
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$46.72
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$72.5
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220.88
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$291.39
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$47.08
Pakistan military action against Kabul by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$533.4
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.25
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$127.8
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$64.8
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+614.3%+$712.94
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.5%+$204.3
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$60.19
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$243.6
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$153.69
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$161.16
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.25
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$133.34
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$31.15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$44.94
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$488.24
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$341.4
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$121.52
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.89
Will Donald Trump say "pardon" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$269.94
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50.29
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$51.06
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.56
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.23
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+369.5%+$864.13
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.18
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+141.5%+$522.09
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.04
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.63
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.02
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$49.68
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$257.4
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$35.65
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$73.14
Will Justin Bieber attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$269.88
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$42.56
Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$71.28
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$276.51
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.35
Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.77
Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.23
Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.99
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$123.76
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+29%+$176.4
Will CU be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+484.8%+$319.99
Will Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$353.72
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$18.25
Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 82% and 84%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.98
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$631.24
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$638.72
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$256.64
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$85.8
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$216.55
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$203.84
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+58.7%+$278.24
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.31
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$36.87
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.54
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$31.85
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$230.8
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$69.3
Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$182.4
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+240.1%+$66.36
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$47.7
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$210.75
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.55
Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.1%+$20.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick20cpaid+338.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+156.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$136.98
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$84.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$614.72
Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$119.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+157.1%+$185.13
Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$38.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Khurais Field by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.23
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$148.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$164.98
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$31.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+426.3%+$236.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$29.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$240.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.