Movies · resolved market
Will "The Perfect Neighbour" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e4fc64d380a23ec6b850bb715cec096ddf4e52e9a6e2ec5fc45139fb81435fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ae4…7da2backed Yes | 56c | 1,045$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.62 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 44c | 814.45$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.95 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 62c | 621.59$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.96 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…9184backed No | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed Yes | 52c | 556$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed Yes | 52c | 496$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.92 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 36c | 479.94$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.54 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed No | 75c | 304$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed Yes | 25c | 304$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Yes | 34c | 303$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked No | 66c | 303$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 46c | 299.54$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…7572backed No | 48c | 263$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed Yes | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed No | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…4b87backed No | 48c | 189$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 72c | 181.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 37c | 128.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 52c | 122.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Yes | 59c | 84.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 36c | 49.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 40c | 45.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 46c | 30.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…f792backed Yes | 73c | 27.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Perfect Neighbour" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?this page
- Will "2000 Meters To Andriivka" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Cover-Up" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Mr Nobody Against Putin" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?Yes won
- Will "One to One: John & Yoko" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.