Movies · resolved market
Will "Mr Nobody Against Putin" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9532ba2ee3d0b4fd2f6ba4ccab7394f2f613dc44d5c8d4479f98d67b4b3e5062
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a04…2310backed No | 70c | 996$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…19c8backed Yes | 30c | 620$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…36b2backed Yes | 16c | 475$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed Yes | 15c | 396$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c04backed Yes | 15c | 382$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…1d2ebacked Yes | 30c | 372$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 15c | 349$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 15c | 278$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…6487backed Yes | 15c | 194$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 45c | 138.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +192.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 16c | 127.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 12c | 116.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes | 30c | 87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3395…7c66backed Yes | 24c | 84.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed No | 70c | 83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…c786backed Yes | 31c | 65.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 68c | 43.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…7914backed No | 69c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…2bb3backed Yes | 31c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 68c | 36.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 76c | 34.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Mr Nobody Against Putin" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?this page
- Will "2000 Meters To Andriivka" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Cover-Up" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "One to One: John & Yoko" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "The Perfect Neighbour" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.