Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d039941b393f61a08567d37ef2e45bc3e7b19984d186c5e7ab4e06243c3ad9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $576,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $608,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $576,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 569 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 48c | 45,228$21,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,839.43 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 45c | 22,157$9,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,917.44 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 36c | 18,021$6,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,463.64 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 21c | 11,927$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.22 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed No | 80c | 11,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 69c | 7,838$5,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,374.26 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked No | 59c | 7,584$4,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 64c | 7,040$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 19c | 6,349$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,172.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 79c | 5,872$4,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,658.71 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 76c | 5,623$4,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.57 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 58c | 5,610$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.22 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 45c | 5,586$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.41 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 2c | 5,316$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed Yes | 35c | 4,921$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 45c | 4,748$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.93 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 73c | 4,476$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.73 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…27d2backed No | 37c | 4,119$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +207.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 79c | 4,106$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.02 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 50c | 3,459$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.31 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 55c | 3,345$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.77 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 11c | 3,333$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 18c | 3,282$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.24 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2292…304ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 3c | 2,941$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…4811backed Yes | 2c | 2,778$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,764$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.4 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 7c | 2,675$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.76 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 11c | 2,621$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.76 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 4c | 2,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66d7…5b7bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,195$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.93 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 23c | 2,187$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.92 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 2,182$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.37 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…09a8backed No | 54c | 2,078$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 60c | 2,025$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.67 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 29c | 2,001$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.79 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…9bd2backed No | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 68c | 1,985$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.77 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 46c | 1,969$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.34 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed No | 35c | 1,918$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.31 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89c7…3ff0backed Yes | 18c | 1,894$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.21 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf94…402dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,718$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed Yes | 2c | 1,692$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 64c | 1,666$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked No | 19c | 1,652$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.75 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed No | 24c | 1,615$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.43 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c9…586abacked No | 44c | 1,587$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 22c | 1,523$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.1 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,449$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.5 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 44c | 1,411$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.47 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 22c | 1,400$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.96 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 1,307$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 33c | 1,269$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.29 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18db…6347backed No | 72c | 1,268$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…f823backed No | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…c46abacked Yes | 75c | 1,245$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 49c | 1,244$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…e997backed No | 20c | 1,238$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +395.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 24c | 1,160$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.2 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked No | 22c | 1,141$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 58c | 1,111$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.62 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbda…4faebacked Yes | 64c | 1,089$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…7e28backed No | 31c | 1,058$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.82 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 29c | 1,036$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.73 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed No | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 36c | 1,018$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.24 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…0c2fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,001$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 56c | 999.98$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.99 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 31c | 972.23$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.97 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 70c | 956.32$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.8 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 29c | 938.26$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.84 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 76c | 932.43$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 44c | 869.74$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 40c | 861.56$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.31 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…160dbacked Yes | 60c | 827.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 24c | 806.12$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.65 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +8.6wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…3eaebacked No | 25c | 804.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +319.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 3c | 802.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…385dbacked Yes | 64c | 799.95$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.71 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 798.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 3c | 780.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…4238backed No | 26c | 778.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.92 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 41cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 59c | 778.71$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.38 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 778.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 72 | 1.4%1 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…b226backed No | 26c | 766.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 35c | 731.24$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.06 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…f792backed Yes | 70c | 718.59$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 704$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 683.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.73 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…a628backed Yes | 3c | 683.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed No | 14c | 681.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.54 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed No | 33c | 681$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.3 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed No | 44c | 672.82$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.11 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 665.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.