NBA · resolved market
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa02a14b12d20c355abdfd83353dfeab2d9e74fbbb632d198b35127fa735ac5b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Yes | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 49c | 4,165$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.12 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 36c | 2,128$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 41c | 1,843$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.71 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,659$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.23 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed Yes | 63c | 1,634$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 63c | 1,561$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed No | 40c | 1,501$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 64c | 1,487$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.07 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 43c | 1,481$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.1 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed No | 35c | 1,458$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.7 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed No | 37c | 1,406$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed Yes | 58c | 1,388$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.75 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked No | 49c | 1,334$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…b217backed No | 40c | 1,315$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 35c | 1,310$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.11 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 41c | 1,308$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…832ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,254$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked No | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked No | 39c | 1,248$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed No | 34c | 1,143$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1abbbacked No | 40c | 1,115$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked No | 37c | 1,062$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed No | 38c | 1,052$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.1 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 38c | 1,016$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.78 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,009$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.96 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 62c | 984$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.82 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed No | 42c | 944$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.21 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +68%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 62c | 938$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.33 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed No | 40c | 929$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…90c4backed No | 59c | 918$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.38 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked No | 37c | 915$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 64c | 902$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.41 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked No | 40c | 901$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked Yes | 65c | 894.08$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…2ad5backed No | 40c | 892$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked Yes | 61c | 884$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed Yes | 60c | 876$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed No | 40c | 854$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.54 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 35c | 841$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.65 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 65c | 840$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 35c | 831$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.87 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…7763backed No | 37c | 811$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 37c | 803$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed No | 40c | 790$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes | 65c | 785$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…952abacked Yes | 41c | 782$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 49c | 766$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.07 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed Yes | 61c | 763$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.43 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…ea4ebacked No | 40c | 756$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes | 60c | 756$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed No | 38c | 752$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.24 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 61c | 749$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.89 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes | 60c | 733$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Yes | 60c | 729$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 62c | 727$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…3734backed Yes | 60c | 710$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 35c | 698$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed No | 35c | 694$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.1 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…fb12backed Yes | 60c | 687$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 60cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 60c | 675$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked Yes | 61c | 674$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 43c | 652.63$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.79 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 62c | 650$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed Yes | 65c | 639$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…ec34backed No | 34c | 639$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.74 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed Yes | 61c | 632$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 34c | 624$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed Yes | 60c | 620$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed No | 35c | 611$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 39c | 610$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked No | 39c | 606$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.66 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 69c | 604.06$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked No | 40c | 599$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked No | 40c | 598$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked Yes | 56c | 597$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed Yes | 62c | 592$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed No | 40c | 590$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 63c | 589$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.07 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 65c | 589$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes | 65c | 588$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed Yes | 62c | 586$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.01 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed Yes | 60c | 581$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +158%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed Yes | 65c | 570$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 37c | 567$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.06 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 27c | 565$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed Yes | 62c | 559$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 42c | 558.05$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.22 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Yes | 60c | 544$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ef…79d6backed Yes | 56c | 544$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed No | 40c | 543$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked Yes | 57c | 539$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…aeb8backed Yes | 65c | 539$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked Yes | 61c | 529$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.69 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed No | 59c | 524$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…c9f4backed No | 44c | 511$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed No | 37c | 507$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.93 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 61c | 502$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.1 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed No | 40c | 502$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked Yes | 61c | 498$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win more than 47.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win more than 19.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win more than 33.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win more than 56.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win more than 46.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win more than 47.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win more than 52.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win more than 46.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win more than 32.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.