TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Houston Rockets win more than 52.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,833 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x53ec…df91backed Yes11c9,724$1,034 inLost-$1,033.7222750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No49c493.2$241 inWon+$252.5939435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ad…5b75backed Yes21c449.99$93 inLost-$93.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x643c…3fc2backed Yes12c334.99$40 inLost-$40.133253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdacf…3c74backed Yes55c293.11$162 inLost-$162.391662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x294d…b362backed No72c291.87$211 inWon+$80.533951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16be…9aacbacked Yes42c238.98$100 inLost-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0603…8f62backed No69c229.03$158 inWon+$70.76955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Yes9c222.66$20 inLost-$20.0491746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes25c123$31 inLost-$30.645453.7%29 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes10c119$12 inLost-$12.261618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-61.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No73c113.85$83 inWon+$30.5310542.9%45 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1298…bc58backed Yes13c98.18$13 inLost-$13.161233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed No46c90$42 inWon+$48.338239.5%151 W · 231 L+35.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c5e…37b3backed Yes18c68.11$12 inLost-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83b…4e18backed Yes38c65.93$25 inLost-$25.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes19c61.87$12 inLost-$11.6610623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5c…3912backed No66c59.55$39 inWon+$20.52171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a32…10a1backed Yes63c54.02$34 inLost-$349564.2%61 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes50c40$20 inLost-$2018246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes54c20$11 inLost-$10.846348.4%224 W · 239 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.