NBA · resolved market
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bf2529ab6de294319cfca0a862707ea9834fa4cd74d6337bba7f2f967fc3f63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b5a…33eebacked Yes | 64c | 2,791$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.01 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…3bb4backed Yes | 63c | 2,720$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3126…4ff7backed Yes | 63c | 2,446$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed No | 51c | 1,335$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.06 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed No | 46c | 1,265$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,226$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…1ccbbacked Yes | 53c | 1,223$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…b5fdbacked No | 50c | 1,197$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 51c | 1,118$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…d0a2backed Yes | 53c | 1,050$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…4018backed No | 50c | 1,037$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed No | 56c | 1,036$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 52c | 990$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.2 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 54c | 967$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.18 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked No | 47c | 911$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed Yes | 44c | 857$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 53c | 851$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed Yes | 43c | 827$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.59 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 50c | 822$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed No | 54c | 812$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.52 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed Yes | 35c | 803$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.66 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked No | 47c | 803$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 47c | 802$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 53c | 794$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.41 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…a961backed Yes | 62c | 780.02$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed No | 54c | 761$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked No | 46c | 727$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 53c | 726$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.23 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 54c | 725$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed No | 47c | 718$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.98 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…811fbacked Yes | 65c | 710.03$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…b7bdbacked Yes | 54c | 689$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked No | 47c | 684$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.89 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7c…07cebacked Yes | 57c | 678.93$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…3eaabacked No | 44c | 671$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed Yes | 44c | 652$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 51c | 651.35$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.99 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked No | 46c | 645$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed No | 47c | 643$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.08 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 53c | 641$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.01 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes | 54c | 636$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.44 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed Yes | 50c | 635$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed No | 50c | 632$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.63 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…67fbbacked Yes | 53c | 589$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f0…f05fbacked Yes | 54c | 588$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked Yes | 44c | 576$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed No | 47c | 574$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed Yes | 53c | 568$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 54c | 551$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.54 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…8bf6backed No | 47c | 535$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 56c | 531$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.17 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed No | 47c | 522$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 50c | 502$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed Yes | 50c | 483$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…2bb3backed No | 47c | 481$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 46c | 479$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed Yes | 39c | 466$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.78 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…ae12backed No | 65c | 456.69$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed Yes | 46c | 456$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 50c | 454$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.45 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed Yes | 46c | 446$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.16 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 47c | 443$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed No | 54c | 430$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed No | 46c | 423$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked Yes | 50c | 418$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 51c | 400.58$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.76 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 54c | 390$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed No | 47c | 386$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.35 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes | 6c | 377$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed No | 47c | 373$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.44 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed Yes | 50c | 371$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed No | 50c | 371$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.87 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed Yes | 44c | 365$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed No | 48c | 363$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.97 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…a5cdbacked Yes | 46c | 361$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.06 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked No | 47c | 351$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.73 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed Yes | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…1211backed Yes | 50c | 349$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 47c | 346$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.07 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 54c | 346$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.84 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed Yes | 44c | 337$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 47c | 328$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.84 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…4c30backed No | 46c | 322$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…2568backed Yes | 68c | 321.49$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…f660backed Yes | 62c | 320.05$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 50c | 318$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.37 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 47c | 309$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed No | 47c | 309$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 56c | 302$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 53c | 293$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.88 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 39c | 284.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed No | 56c | 271$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 42c | 269.84$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked No | 47c | 264$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 49c | 261.91$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.88 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes | 4c | 260$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 51c | 259$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 6c | 250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 53c | 245$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win more than 47.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win more than 19.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win more than 33.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win more than 56.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win more than 46.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win more than 47.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win more than 52.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win more than 46.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win more than 32.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.