TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b8d…24efbacked Yes42c2,713$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.49944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcde9…d705backed Yes41c2,499$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f8…3bb4backed Yes69c2,220$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5a…33eebacked Yes69c2,160$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.89977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3126…4ff7backed Yes69c2,130$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b6…ba85backed Yes45c1,447$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.511560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+66.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9818…7cd3backed No54c1,435$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.86850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02b…e86dbacked No52c1,430$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.591233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3a2…811fbacked Yes69c1,420$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x672b…68d2backed No56c1,399$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.061118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fe6…d8e3backed Yes45c1,366$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.841353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0c…6279backed No60c1,286$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+58.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52e9…a961backed Yes69c1,250$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80af…0c19backed No13c1,249$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.561625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8697…4165backed Yes44c1,180$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.341172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd41…3796backed No55c1,174$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.182142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc450…a5b8backed No58c1,158$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.091250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4582…7699backed Yes42c1,153$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.281233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95cc…f215backed No57c1,139$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.261030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2e…fe02backed No56c1,131$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.231136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x981e…d368backed Yes40c1,105$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.111566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+74.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes42c1,040$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.161770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2fd…f0b5backed Yes40c1,039$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.361154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc758…8153backed No60c1,013$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.791546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79a1…2d87backed No63c1,004$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.51850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d8…9f12backed No50c990$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.013151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe71…38d2backed No60c988$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.8150%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed No56c986$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.133036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b82…1712backed Yes45c958$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.031741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes45c934$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.93050%15 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed0…0532backed Yes40c927$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.27742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes37c919$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.131855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5214…95c9backed No55c897$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.662339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbd…1598backed Yes44c883$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.711833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb212…0f8ebacked No60c860$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.14825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff2d…caf4backed No55c858$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.331136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0de5…d01cbacked No60c856$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-75%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1d7…8c45backed No57c841$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.471435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4feb…446bbacked Yes67c840$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0ec1backed No60c839$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.56933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…857abacked No55c839$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.09955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3e…0959backed Yes37c831$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.871145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae18…1132backed No50c821$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.042842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6478…49f3backed No50c783$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.151136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6f…deaebacked No57c779$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.161338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b69…6622backed Yes45c752$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.591181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+52%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked Yes42c749$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.672733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1b7…d913backed Yes45c731$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.86922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes80c727.06$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3222750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e36…2479backed Yes42c727$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.572441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0384…90c2backed Yes68c720$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x342d…f660backed Yes68c720$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed Yes44c713$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.142339.1%9 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8507…7f61backed No60c709$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.981050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f51…09adbacked Yes50c705$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.391747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed No63c691$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.562941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb547…a237backed Yes45c681$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.292857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6499…05d2backed No62c674$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.933141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a8…2a44backed No60c663$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.141457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbea8…43dabacked Yes67c660$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fd…a3e1backed No50c649$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.21266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+72.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x07c5…2dacbacked No58c648$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.781060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7238…e52dbacked No55c647$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.91742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc5…d5f6backed No50c644$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.362065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ba…c705backed No50c638$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.361957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc315…6411backed Yes45c638$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.351040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No25c624.69$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3639435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59ad…e59abacked Yes45c616$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.951560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03b2…567cbacked No56c615$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.942245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed No23c614.18$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8438239.5%151 W · 231 L+35.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed No55c614$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.242744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0733…cd5abacked Yes40c598$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+67%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f0f…98e8backed Yes37c593$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.41533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0acc…debabacked No60c577$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc18…cb94backed No55c575$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.531145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed Yes50c571$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.933138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x184f…a48fbacked Yes40c570$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.43944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04da…dc10backed Yes50c568$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.432642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e9…8e90backed Yes40c563$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.241050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6789…52f9backed No60c555$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.451346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes44c549$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.892429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b63…bb9cbacked No55c537$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.2837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No30c535.39$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0520838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No37c529.2$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.12,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes39c527$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.941947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7407…19bebacked Yes45c512$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.062445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204d…08cbbacked Yes40c503$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.31172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+69.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1633…8bf6backed Yes44c502$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.631060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a10…fbe0backed No55c502$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293b…c83bbacked Yes50c494$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.521442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c09…28d0backed No50c485$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.05966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes50c483$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.021747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked No56c479$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.82955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x036f…31a9backed Yes44c478$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.642564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked Yes41c464$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.961936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17be…7a33backed No56c458$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.022227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x98ed…7a3fbacked No60c452$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.75850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+61.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74b8…0c87backed Yes40c452$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.751435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0b4…0979backed Yes67c450$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…a539backed Yes46c449$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.411346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.