NBA · resolved market

Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac45dc9ccd8036b9d89db3332fdfdc869228ec78abff8c5d6f977b14fc4bb0c8

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $100,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,972 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x413a…0008backed No	3c	13,866$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.79	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.20per pick	23cpaid	+195.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	0c	6,991$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.63	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e36…2479backed No	24c	1,321$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.84	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdaf…f63cbacked No	25c	1,196$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.22	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c07…956bbacked No	24c	1,166$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.51	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3c…a29ebacked No	24c	1,153$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.87	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd137…ceacbacked Yes	75c	1,057$797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.3	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+64.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f6…ea40backed No	25c	1,040$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.84	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39dd…1bb5backed No	25c	1,026$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.37	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-4.9wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x91af…95c8backed No	24c	1,006$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.48	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes	76c	974$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.38	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b0…f5bebacked No	21c	924$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.62	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64c2…c527backed Yes	75c	888$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.45	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0525…215ebacked No	4c	853.65$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6163…58ccbacked Yes	76c	841$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.68	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked No	16c	836.14$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.31	80	20%16 W · 64 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4582…7699backed Yes	76c	808$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.5	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe335…cd12backed No	25c	772$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.91	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d38…e898backed No	25c	766$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.44	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x322a…3274backed Yes	75c	719$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.87	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39be…5e7bbacked No	23c	718$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.3	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes	76c	702$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.99	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e46…e68dbacked Yes	76c	698$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.92	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2247…96e8backed No	25c	692$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.92	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.19per pick	45cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc123…115cbacked No	24c	691$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.22	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked No	26c	686$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.74	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes	77c	685$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.24	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed Yes	75c	681$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.53	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed No	25c	681$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.53	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d0f…af26backed Yes	76c	672$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.94	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6499…05d2backed No	24c	653$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.76	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked No	4c	651.05$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.74	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+3.6wins	+0.17per pick	31cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed Yes	75c	617$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.39	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc771…e858backed No	19c	613$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.09	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7407…19bebacked No	25c	601$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.85	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6034…b5fdbacked Yes	75c	601$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.85	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+133.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf049…29fdbacked No	25c	586$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.74	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e2…7babbacked No	24c	573$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.81	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa400…ec34backed Yes	75c	565$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.99	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed Yes	73c	532$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.44	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab38…77febacked Yes	75c	531$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.16	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes	75c	515$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.2	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86c5…4c23backed No	24c	512$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.86	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes	76c	508$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.43	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8959…50f8backed No	24c	506$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.74	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef0…c84abacked Yes	76c	455$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.66	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed Yes	75c	449$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.9	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x293b…09a9backed No	25c	442$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.73	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05d…3e96backed No	25c	439$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.99	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bfa…3888backed Yes	61c	431$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.43	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf085…a01fbacked Yes	76c	423$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.21	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a88…513ebacked No	25c	414$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.43	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a7a9backed Yes	75c	412$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.35	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc713…891fbacked Yes	75c	396$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.42	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes	76c	394$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.77	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1897…c285backed Yes	76c	394$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.95	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xca67…703cbacked No	25c	386$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.34	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa151…13b4backed No	25c	382$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.59	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4984…69d2backed No	25c	382$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.97	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e9e…bd49backed Yes	75c	380$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.46	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+3.6wins	+0.36per pick	44cpaid	+103.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed No	25c	370$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.52	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09be…76d5backed Yes	77c	363$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.85	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d05…305bbacked Yes	78c	361$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.63	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…01b1backed No	20c	353$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.54	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0184…23f6backed Yes	76c	353$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.49	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81ba…b311backed Yes	75c	343$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.38	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f8…5145backed No	25c	341$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.23	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+5.4wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb85b…77dbbacked No	24c	340$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.96	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes	76c	340$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.96	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-47%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63c2…ca53backed Yes	75c	334$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.5	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed Yes	75c	333$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.25	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3bc…43e9backed Yes	75c	319$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.79	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes	11c	305.92$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.42	182	46.7%85 W · 97 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	66c	305.36$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.63	227	50.2%114 W · 113 L	+24.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed No	24c	304$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.8	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ae…44adbacked Yes	76c	303$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.11	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a88…b859backed No	10c	300$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	36cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf51b…bf74backed Yes	64c	298$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.58	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe136…cacebacked No	25c	285$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.4	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfda4…1058backed No	24c	282$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.12	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…ac22backed No	20c	277$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.57	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd19a…5b88backed Yes	76c	276$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.62	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	5c	270$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993c…eae0backed No	49c	269$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.81	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce65…66fdbacked Yes	75c	268$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.93	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cae…c0eebacked No	24c	267$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.83	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked No	9c	265.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes	39c	264$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.5	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+4.3wins	+0.21per pick	32cpaid	+209.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed No	24c	263$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.38	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x036f…31a9backed Yes	76c	261$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.76	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed Yes	76c	251$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.49	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x722f…f17fbacked Yes	76c	247$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.02	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x672b…68d2backed No	25c	247$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.52	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	13c	245.14$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.07	150	10%15 W · 135 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e57…6c04backed No	25c	245$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.25	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.18per pick	39cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5fa…f3f8backed No	25c	238$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.31	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd70b…a152backed No	25c	228$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.86	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb407…a978backed Yes	76c	225$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.9	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes	76c	218$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.41	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.4wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes	76c	210$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.03	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-54%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event