TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Chicago Bulls win more than 33.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,644 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes14c1,235$174 inLost-$174.2339435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffaf…b675backed No73c164.78$120 inWon+$44.71172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No46c125.9$57 inWon+$68.4618246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No15c117.65$18 inWon+$10040133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f15…52f1backed Yes69c84.73$58 inLost-$58.135350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x413a…0008backed Yes31c71.48$22 inLost-$22.381442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick23cpaid+195.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes28c56.51$16 inLost-$15.8938239.5%151 W · 231 L+35.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Yes48c41.96$20 inLost-$2050351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd9b…b6aabacked Yes58c40$23 inLost-$23.23148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69d7…d1e3backed No62c33.81$21 inWon+$12.81366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.