NBA · resolved market
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dc1e9fe0c0f174db580a64b1cc78d4752fcf6c130bbbd84fc1020710f082b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 46c | 811.88$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.76 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed No | 15c | 730$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 15c | 717$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 14c | 687$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked No | 11c | 656$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed No | 13c | 615$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked No | 14c | 548$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed No | 10c | 521.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed No | 15c | 514$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed No | 15c | 507$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked No | 20c | 481$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 13c | 476$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed No | 11c | 453$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 15c | 445$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 19c | 427.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…5f61backed Yes | 75c | 427$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 11c | 399$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 15c | 399$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 34c | 399$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed No | 49c | 398$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 15c | 379$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 12c | 376$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed No | 66c | 360$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed No | 39c | 353$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 76c | 349.01$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked No | 58c | 330$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…e1efbacked No | 25c | 310$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed Yes | 71c | 307.15$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Yes | 50c | 301$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed No | 25c | 299$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 62c | 289$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked No | 36c | 278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 41c | 273.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.01 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed No | 11c | 270$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 75c | 266$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 11c | 263$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…fc43backed No | 25c | 259$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 11c | 255$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 33c | 250$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed No | 11c | 248$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 71c | 229$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.73 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…92b3backed Yes | 75c | 227$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed Yes | 61c | 224$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed Yes | 66c | 213$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 60c | 203.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 54c | 197$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 11c | 195$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed No | 24c | 195$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…c3ddbacked No | 24c | 195$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 62c | 187.26$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…fa2abacked No | 25c | 182$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…6591backed No | 16c | 178.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6bc2backed No | 25c | 173$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed Yes | 61c | 171$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 49c | 169$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 23c | 168$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 25c | 167$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 75c | 162$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 50c | 157.16$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 11c | 156$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed No | 28c | 151$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed Yes | 76c | 147$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 144.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked Yes | 75c | 144$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…fc0dbacked Yes | 46c | 144$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…2937backed Yes | 57c | 144$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…c394backed No | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed No | 13c | 138$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…d531backed No | 24c | 137$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed No | 52c | 132.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 66c | 131$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed Yes | 80c | 120.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…2089backed Yes | 77c | 119.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…af79backed Yes | 76c | 118$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 53c | 117.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 111.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 33c | 111$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 13c | 109$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8ad4backed No | 25c | 102$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…be9fbacked No | 24c | 99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb210…728ebacked No | 17c | 92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed No | 34c | 91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed No | 24c | 89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 75c | 87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…8cf7backed Yes | 66c | 83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 75c | 83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 21c | 80.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…b362backed Yes | 75c | 76.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…901abacked No | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed No | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed Yes | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…aa3cbacked Yes | 76c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…90c4backed No | 39c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed No | 24c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 28c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +117%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 70c | 57.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 57c | 55.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win more than 47.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win more than 19.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win more than 33.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win more than 56.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win more than 46.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win more than 47.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win more than 52.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win more than 46.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win more than 32.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.