TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed No46c811.88$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.7639435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993c…eae0backed No15c730$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.52458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed No15c717$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.552941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed No14c687$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.183450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f3…be1dbacked No11c656$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.162450%12 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…bd71backed No13c615$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.951573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf49…6cfebacked No14c548$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.12544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed No10c521.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.94131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5214…95c9backed No15c514$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.12339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bbb…5c80backed No15c507$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.052429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdaf…f63cbacked No20c481$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.663250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090a…cd55backed No13c476$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.882339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6951…cb02backed No11c453$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.832040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7407…19bebacked No15c445$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.752445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked No19c427.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.612147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick31cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5372…5f61backed Yes75c427$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.751040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed No11c399$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.893138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb862…5aaebacked No15c399$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.852045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes34c399$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.342152.4%11 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+209.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d66…fc54backed No49c398$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed No15c379$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.852642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1063…1d3fbacked No12c376$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.122142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c57…c2e0backed No66c360$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.62254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1d7…8c45backed No39c353$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.671435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9e…efb7backed Yes76c349.01$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.762653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked No58c330$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.318556.8%105 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d4…e1efbacked No25c310$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5c…3912backed Yes71c307.15$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.812171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed Yes50c301$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.253036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed No25c299$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.752751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aca…cad6backed Yes62c289$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.432356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26ad…990ebacked No36c278$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.972326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-36.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes41c273.68$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0122750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb023…6d90backed No11c270$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+60.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e36…2479backed Yes75c266$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.52441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked No11c263$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.934334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x130f…fc43backed No25c259$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed No11c255$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.053033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed No33c250$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5238239.5%151 W · 231 L+35.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e9e…bd49backed No11c248$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.281080%8 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+103.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed No71c229$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.733339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab6d…92b3backed Yes75c227$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.75450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed Yes61c224$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.362955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa457…1a93backed Yes66c213$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.421560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes60c203.25$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7818246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No54c197$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3820838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b64…bd0ebacked No11c195$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.453339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe539…5345backed No24c195$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.82250%11 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafa3…c3ddbacked No24c195$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.81553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes62c187.26$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.695145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…fa2abacked No25c182$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7f…6591backed No16c178.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.986328.6%18 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7feb…6bc2backed No25c173$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.082236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b69…6622backed Yes61c171$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.691181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+52%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce25…4e7dbacked No49c169$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.811050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae18…1132backed No23c168$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.322842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d5…b5cebacked No25c167$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.752356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+82.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed Yes75c162$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.53234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes50c157.16$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.488020%16 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked No11c156$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.163148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf51b…bf74backed No28c151$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.282441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd134…5558backed Yes76c147$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.281637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No38c144.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.811,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4e…aa5abacked Yes75c144$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0de…fc0dbacked Yes46c144$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd056…2937backed Yes57c144$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c90…c394backed No12c140$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.85724.6%14 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a7a9backed No13c138$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.942638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f91…d531backed No24c137$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.881060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes50c136$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2422041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed No52c132.51$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4226530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed No66c131$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.463240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf666…8842backed Yes75c125$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.252751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f15…52f1backed Yes80c120.58$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.45350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb651…2089backed Yes77c119.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe43…af79backed Yes76c118$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.321060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+74.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes53c117.37$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1619951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No13c111.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.462,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb547…a237backed Yes33c111$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.372857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed No13c109$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.173145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8ad4backed No25c102$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+56.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ceb…7fc8backed No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c4c…be9fbacked No24c99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.042369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb210…728ebacked No17c92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-69.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ec…4477backed No34c91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.942737%10 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9e5…d252backed No24c89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.361656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked Yes75c87$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.751936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d4…8cf7backed Yes66c83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.221145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed Yes75c83$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.751735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No21c80.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.861,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294d…b362backed Yes75c76.52$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.133951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1587…901abacked No25c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e17…c6b5backed No24c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f5…b750backed Yes76c66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.841450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x700b…aa3cbacked Yes76c64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x941a…90c4backed No39c62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.181618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-70.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf42b…7577backed No24c61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.642147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed No28c58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.242850%14 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+117%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes70c57.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0510539%41 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes57c55.47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.029746.4%45 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.