TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d66…fc54

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Music at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$44.03
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.92
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.95
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.28
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$97.5
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$83.99
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.72
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$82.08
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.9
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$172.38
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$106.76
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$67.98
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$78.12
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+79.2%+$49.07
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+300%+$83.25
Will Regina Hall be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.77
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$162.24
Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$69.12
Will Endless Cookie be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14.42
Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+41.2%+$56.86
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$51.06
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$172.67
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Iran strike on Qatar by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$324.47
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$198.9
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$210.84
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$173.04
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$115.77
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$398.09
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+150%+$333.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+203%+$241.2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$184.91
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$342.16
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92.92
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$22
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$31.9
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$411.16
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.4
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$204.68
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.2
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$28.38
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$51.33
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$45.36
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.94
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$89.67
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+194.1%+$158.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$277.44
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.45
Canada recession before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.45
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$84.6
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$160.5
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$285.6
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 80% and 85%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$70.28
Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$204.12
Will GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) win the most seats in Utrecht’s 2026 municipal election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.66
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+222.6%+$469.89
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$108
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.24
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+41.2%+$49.62
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.79
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.11
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$40.32
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+88.7%+$82.25
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$127.5
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+53.8%+$211.75
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23.2
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+54.1%+$41.42
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.7
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$39.05
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+890.1%+$169.91
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.43
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$215.38
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.34
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.02
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.38
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$94.61
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick18cpaid+261.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+146.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+222.6%+$26.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$141.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$214.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$104.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$51.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$226.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.