NBA · resolved market

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36f459d9744356645cc64ed85d05689cc5a004012ca43db81ada4653e85780a7

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $78,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $81,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,467 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xab07…7763backed No	76c	1,475$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125.37	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.9wins	-0.32per pick	55cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f3d…9ef2backed Yes	22c	1,230$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$956.94	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe136…cacebacked Yes	22c	1,177$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.71	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6159…7501backed Yes	22c	1,121$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872.14	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06d8…4c30backed No	74c	1,117$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.93	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…ee5abacked Yes	25c	1,114$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.25	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd137…ceacbacked Yes	26c	1,032$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$765.74	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+64.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd98f…5afdbacked No	78c	1,017$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.23	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x234a…cbffbacked Yes	22c	914$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.09	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.26per pick	42cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5214…95c9backed No	74c	850$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.7	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc0…fab9backed Yes	22c	846$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.19	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+101.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19cd…f7ffbacked No	78c	815$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.07	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca3…9546backed Yes	22c	813$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$632.51	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes	32c	770.99$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.23	394	49.2%194 W · 200 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x246f…0ab2backed No	78c	767$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.73	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce65…66fdbacked Yes	25c	700$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.42	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad46…0918backed No	78c	687$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.71	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-47%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b02…cfc1backed No	78c	686$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.71	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ae0…4590backed No	74c	682$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.04	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d38…e898backed No	78c	647$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.37	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x245c…75e7backed Yes	22c	634$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.25	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.19per pick	45cpaid	+68%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb47e…c824backed Yes	22c	634$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.98	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	36cpaid	+90.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	17c	596.27$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.33	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	+7.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a88…513ebacked Yes	22c	583$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.57	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…bd71backed Yes	26c	568$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.02	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+32%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff74…24f0backed No	78c	551$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.68	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+56.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9818…7cd3backed No	74c	539$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.32	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed No	74c	534$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.23	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72c…bbf0backed No	78c	523$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.07	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39dd…1bb5backed No	78c	510$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.78	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-4.9wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6388…f668backed No	78c	509$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x354c…b301backed Yes	26c	507$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.19	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd19a…5b88backed No	74c	501$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.74	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…9a60backed Yes	26c	487$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.73	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83be…6f94backed No	78c	476$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.33	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…fc69backed No	78c	465$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.77	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe309…44c2backed No	75c	463$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.79	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2abd…74ebbacked No	74c	454$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.05	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-36%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x54f2…55d9backed Yes	26c	452$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.93	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed Yes	25c	437$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.31	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71d2…e109backed Yes	26c	434$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.29	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked Yes	26c	429$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.32	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed Yes	26c	421$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.38	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1802…b7d3backed No	74c	417$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.41	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…c913backed Yes	26c	409$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.48	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+36%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes	22c	401$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.98	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0895…4ddebacked Yes	26c	398$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.93	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe539…5345backed Yes	10c	394$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.81	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes	22c	380$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.64	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+66.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7407…19bebacked No	78c	378$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.08	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4628…ee62backed Yes	22c	376$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.53	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.33per pick	42cpaid	+105%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccc2…271abacked No	78c	376$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.53	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes	22c	372$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.42	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38c1…2f84backed No	78c	357$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.75	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0c…6279backed Yes	22c	346$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.19	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.22per pick	35cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0042…e62fbacked Yes	22c	336$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.41	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda64…9bc5backed Yes	26c	335$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.57	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x326e…c7b9backed Yes	19c	329$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.34	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes	61c	321.5$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.87	73	37%27 W · 46 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa151…13b4backed No	78c	319$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.18	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93fb…e392backed No	78c	301$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.58	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.27per pick	54cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Yes	10c	300$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.4	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3359…2273backed No	78c	291$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.11	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f0d…1683backed No	74c	288$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.7	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b1…e7cabacked No	78c	271$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.84	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde08…f416backed Yes	33c	265.47$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.47	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.42per pick	25cpaid	+273%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0caa…fb12backed No	78c	263$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.61	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-3.2wins	-0.46per pick	60cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdd81…ae79backed Yes	26c	260$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.88	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.46per pick	29cpaid	+215%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf528…4441backed No	74c	260$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.88	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6416…18d7backed No	15c	257.44$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.45	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6f…deaebacked No	77c	257$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.66	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	56cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4984…69d2backed No	74c	255$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.96	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed Yes	26c	253$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.73	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes	26c	248$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.02	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed No	74c	248$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.02	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fd…a3e1backed Yes	22c	241$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.5	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+72.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa232…175fbacked No	78c	211$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.95	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed No	74c	206$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.85	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.08	227	50.2%114 W · 113 L	+24.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	12c	198.49$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.19	150	10%15 W · 135 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes	11c	196$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.24	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+3.8wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+82.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3214…f00ebacked No	74c	195$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.69	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x163a…70a2backed Yes	26c	195$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.69	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	37cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd11f…2d2cbacked Yes	10c	194$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.21	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f91…d531backed Yes	17c	190$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.46	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d66…fc54backed Yes	10c	189$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.91	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+92.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f4…0430backed No	74c	187$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.57	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ae…44adbacked No	78c	186$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.71	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed No	27c	180$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.18	280	42.5%119 W · 161 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	54c	176$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.63	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2fd…f0b5backed Yes	23c	175.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.71	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	20c	174.5$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.88	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1056…5b18backed Yes	22c	174$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.2	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed Yes	26c	173$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.54	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc713…891fbacked No	78c	170$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.26	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…e68dbacked Yes	22c	164$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.59	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe918…d166backed No	78c	162$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.87	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-5.1wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x964c…44acbacked No	78c	161$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.78	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes	8c	159.69$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.64	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+70.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb97…b54dbacked Yes	17c	157$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.94	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+3.0wins	+0.50per pick	34cpaid	+305.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event