TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e36…2479backed No78c1,819$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.672441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f3…09e0backed No74c1,356$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.272944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed Yes23c1,312$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.822450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd719…d8e5backed Yes24c1,181$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.263243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d66…fc54backed No78c983$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda64…9bc5backed No74c971$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3acc…973dbacked Yes23c870$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.231275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes25c861$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.682556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b45…836ebacked No76c834$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed Yes26c795$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.293138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c1…704bbacked Yes26c791$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.241421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x636c…ea28backed Yes24c646$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.75911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-84.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe43…af79backed Yes26c645$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.991060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+74.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked No76c641$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.844334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes6c640$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.827915.2%12 W · 67 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b82…1712backed Yes24c632$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.681741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc9…5856backed Yes26c626$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.762552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb1…c4e8backed No76c610$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.182842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x177a…aa8ebacked No79c590$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.262030%6 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7775…6cb4backed Yes20c548$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.241553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+167.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked No76c532$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.622356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7086…f376backed No77c523$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.771118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-62.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f3d…9ef2backed Yes22c493$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.941942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x184f…a48fbacked No78c493$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.94944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfbd…17c9backed Yes24c481$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.441241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca36…bb1dbacked No77c474$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.62045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes12c427$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.531833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed Yes19c417$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.651926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-52.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed No77c398$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.722850%14 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+117%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5322…95e1backed Yes21c395$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.141136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…fc69backed No79c395$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.14944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes9c374.07$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.031,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7407…19bebacked Yes26c367$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.792445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f52…a35abacked Yes26c363$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.742548%12 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x451a…a0c9backed No74c363$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.742657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7176…6f9fbacked Yes27c361$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.912250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked No73c361$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.913145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98cb…a127backed No77c359$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.491741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9bd…4d4cbacked Yes24c342$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+67.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed Yes24c336$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.972642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73df…ba67backed No79c328$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.521540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed Yes22c328$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.521631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes8c316.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.87894.5%4 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x605c…83dcbacked No74c292$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.921844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e2…e1babacked Yes23c285$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.41540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+68.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6478…49f3backed No77c285$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.411136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes23c280$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3939449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes20c279$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.081758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…c913backed No74c275$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe62…6d76backed No78c264$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.55955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed Yes20c260$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.262948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes24c251.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0122041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa906…84e4backed No76c246$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.552157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6159…7501backed Yes26c242$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.922445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x293b…09a9backed Yes21c239$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.32642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1c…7406backed No80c238$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x334a…832ebacked No76c235$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.931136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ae0…4590backed Yes24c232$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.222352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed No76c232$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.222853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes22c231.19$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.21,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes22c218$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.612634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes21c218$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.062142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd11f…2d2cbacked Yes19c217$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.66837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+57.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4406…5eafbacked No80c216$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.421457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b5…4ca3backed No76c212$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.461861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34be…6797backed Yes24c212$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes11c209.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.068020%16 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f66…ad61backed Yes20c206$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.411127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6705…7ddcbacked No77c206$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.17955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes20c204$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdce0…7260backed Yes20c200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.052334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf977…aff0backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+143.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked Yes20c194$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf666…8842backed Yes26c189$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.522751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda7f…c93dbacked No80c189$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.012147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a1…8919backed No80c182$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.58825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf8…ded2backed No80c181$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.42475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+242.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b82…7a36backed Yes23c174.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.432825%7 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+35.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04da…dc10backed Yes26c160$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.922642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d8…9f12backed No80c160$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.163151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09be…76d5backed No80c158$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.762556%14 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c55…8adebacked Yes19c156$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7d…d9fcbacked No80c156$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed No74c155$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.452157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x668b…3884backed No74c153$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.931040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5fa…f3f8backed No76c149$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.462937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb6…cfe8backed Yes20c148$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c7…f199backed Yes19c146$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.892231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcac…f545backed Yes23c141$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x708a…68b9backed Yes20c141$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.341464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+95.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe539…5345backed No77c141$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.572250%11 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf085…a01fbacked Yes24c141$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.842450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked No80c138$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.743148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes20c136$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.342528%7 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc04c…44ffbacked No78c129$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.02944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ec…46cebacked No76c129$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.71050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No79c125.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.738853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x090a…cd55backed Yes22c124$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.662339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d9d…a002backed Yes19c122$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-74.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd70b…a152backed No80c121$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.321338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.