NBA · resolved market

Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x474d6262c093f57f98212f32e1eb3d872a006b27d4a13d762d5471e73054c085

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $13,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,273 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	2c	1,347$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.97	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes	11c	834$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.2	394	49.2%194 W · 200 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes	6c	521.55$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.31	73	37%27 W · 46 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	6c	495.42$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.41	89	4.5%4 W · 85 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc94…efd5backed Yes	3c	484$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.07	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.32per pick	40cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4924…f404backed Yes	10c	336$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.94	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed Yes	5c	306$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.88	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c07…956bbacked Yes	6c	291$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.75	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes	10c	284$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.68	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes	6c	283.27$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc771…e858backed Yes	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes	5c	241.23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed Yes	5c	238$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+117%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	12c	213.4$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.49	150	10%15 W · 135 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes	10c	188$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.99	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	14c	163.17$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.09	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58e1…a5cdbacked Yes	10c	140$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes	10c	120$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-35%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event