NBA · resolved market

Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67773e95e7adcdc17045cb9e5bec4fe9e58a4d225d114ce42bf457c69e7a9c44

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,704 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9d4d…7063backed Yes	1c	1,680$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	4c	1,235$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.18	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1eb…7afebacked Yes	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes	30c	586.16$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.65	394	49.2%194 W · 200 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	4c	429.05$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	89	4.5%4 W · 85 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes	7c	400$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	80	20%16 W · 64 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	63c	356.86$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.25	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	+7.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	3c	352.66$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45fb…c3f5backed Yes	51c	292.59$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-3.6wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes	11c	272$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.38	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes	45c	247.38$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.4	73	37%27 W · 46 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes	35c	235.42$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.83	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Yes	20c	213.89$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	315	40.3%127 W · 188 L	-15.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	12c	212.67$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.02	150	10%15 W · 135 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes	10c	204.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	340	50.3%171 W · 169 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…ac22backed Yes	11c	190$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes	22c	187.92$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.07	353	52.4%185 W · 168 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	35c	159$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.93	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9551…8c45backed No	62c	135$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.45	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked Yes	27c	120.85$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.08	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	63c	117.64$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.23	67	62.7%42 W · 25 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10a5…dba9backed Yes	18c	111$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.58	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c1…0320backed Yes	47c	106.48$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa58f…51d6backed Yes	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	272	48.5%132 W · 140 L	+11.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	463	48.4%224 W · 239 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	20c	98.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.84	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x613f…b804backed Yes	34c	94.42$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8213…8c05backed Yes	55c	90.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.31per pick	43cpaid	-76%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13df…a764backed Yes	49c	77.9$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.31	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6956…d189backed Yes	40c	77$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.96	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfe…6ad4backed No	55c	75$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.75	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.29per pick	54cpaid	+54.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	46c	64.78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.77	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39bd…1027backed Yes	63c	63.19$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes	20c	63.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.93	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-3.3wins	-0.24per pick	60cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No	47c	61.77$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.85	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93ae…ba41backed Yes	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No	61c	47.86$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.62	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes	26c	47.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.49	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…f6fdbacked No	53c	45$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.1	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.57per pick	44cpaid	+141.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7175…9f90backed No	59c	33.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No	61c	32.07$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.49	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Yes	47c	31.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…73d3backed Yes	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde6e…085abacked Yes	42c	29.83$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Yes	54c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.86	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6416…18d7backed No	55c	20.07$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.95	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event