TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1063…1d3f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+549.4%+$148.05
Will Erik Spoelstra win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.06
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$690
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.7
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.09
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$70.4
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$200.85
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$209.88
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$182.07
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.28
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.12
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.48
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$146.16
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.51
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.83
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$209.5
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$32.34
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$97.15
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.05
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.7
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.56
Will Adolescence win Best New Scripted Series at the 41st Film Independent Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.89
Will Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby win Best First-Time Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$272.8
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$177.76
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$216.26
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+525%+$171.36
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$292.1
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$218.7
Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.18
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$173.68
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$204.6
Will Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) win Best Actress – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will "Sarah Silverman: Postmortem" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+33.3%+$155.5
Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50.13
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+28.2%+$159.28
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21.78
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.32
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$183.31
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$241.8
Will "Trump" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.35
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.86
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$214.76
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.78
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$112.18
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$914.56
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33.28
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.54
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$283.36
Will Jensen Huang say "Lidar" during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$425.7
Will Jensen Huang say "Ray Traced" or "Ray Tracing" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+614.3%+$337.12
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$39.69
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+69.5%+$21.32
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$118.34
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.26
Will USD fall to 1.3M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.59
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$331.17
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.96
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$93.24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$607.02
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+37%+$277.02
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$316.54
Will Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$282.72
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51.59
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+194.1%+$173.58
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$365.28
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$55.35
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.38
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$75.84
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$261
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.67
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79.59
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$143.44
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$134.2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$138.6
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36.72
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$77.38
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+504%+$1,274.19
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$137.25
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+80.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$561.66
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.67
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$147.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$2,388.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$61.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$79.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.2%+$119.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$302.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$34.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.