Us Midterms · resolved market
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x705b8c1edeff1e28846175e65b5effaff746c446737aff52440c4211f49dadfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,840,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,805,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,840,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 658 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe7b…3303backed No | 3c | 106,799$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f70…bf5abacked No | 2c | 48,591$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…2bbbbacked No | 1c | 40,599$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e37…7e43backed No | 3c | 35,285$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 17c | 34,777$5,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,781.15 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…ccb0backed No | 1c | 26,945$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…1137backed No | 0c | 25,740$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…78e2backed No | 2c | 23,866$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9771…5a0abacked No | 7c | 21,448$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…1e8bbacked No | 1c | 20,604$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a04…3b5fbacked No | 1c | 17,933$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…a777backed No | 2c | 16,605$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 3c | 14,442$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.8 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 14,070$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.37 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed No | 7c | 13,709$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…66ebbacked No | 24c | 13,700$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…8419backed Yes | 76c | 13,700$10,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…0443backed No | 19c | 13,167$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…f0f9backed No | 1c | 12,213$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989f…5e7fbacked No | 6c | 12,032$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 11c | 11,506$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.82 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e33…8c8fbacked No | 4c | 11,199$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 19c | 11,174$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 14c | 11,083$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4a…0b5cbacked No | 2c | 10,990$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 0c | 10,351$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…272ebacked No | 2c | 9,889$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…6689backed No | 21c | 9,887$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…a3cbbacked No | 4c | 9,851$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…ba3fbacked No | 9c | 8,991$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9d…a039backed No | 3c | 8,859$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 14c | 7,507$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 78c | 7,386$5,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 78c | 7,313$5,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.65 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 12c | 7,151$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…22f0backed No | 1c | 6,687$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e6…962abacked No | 1c | 6,654$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…4e7bbacked No | 0c | 6,462$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 77c | 6,322$4,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 13c | 6,272$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.71 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked No | 1c | 6,249$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed No | 18c | 5,992$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…0f33backed No | 14c | 5,916$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 12cpaid | +501%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x367e…4241backed No | 4c | 5,813$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7476…f26abacked No | 16c | 5,664$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked No | 5c | 5,613$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +444.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 8c | 5,602$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 10c | 5,587$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ed…cfc6backed No | 1c | 5,587$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…27e8backed No | 7c | 5,433$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…01e1backed No | 9c | 5,346$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…076ebacked No | 3c | 5,133$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 30c | 5,119$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 76c | 5,001$3,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.04 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210e…b324backed No | 7c | 4,935$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…8980backed No | 6c | 4,814$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 74c | 4,782$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 4,730$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.5 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…fdbdbacked No | 14c | 4,645$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…7cb7backed No | 1c | 4,490$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce95…034dbacked No | 4c | 4,433$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 78c | 4,374$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07a…3fb0backed No | 2c | 4,350$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 4,337$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28a…fc48backed No | 9c | 4,298$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 11c | 4,074$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…54babacked No | 6c | 4,003$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc832…ed2bbacked No | 3c | 3,998$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b0…b26bbacked Yes | 79c | 3,787$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c6…1434backed No | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa757…d062backed No | 6c | 3,607$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bc…1dabbacked No | 6c | 3,580$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 6c | 3,572$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…de7cbacked No | 15c | 3,550$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 11c | 3,520$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.15 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed No | 18c | 3,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…1561backed No | 1c | 3,373$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d44…966fbacked No | 63c | 3,363$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…ae21backed No | 1c | 3,330$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8b…e194backed No | 2c | 3,176$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…9d67backed No | 9c | 3,151$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…f073backed No | 0c | 3,136$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…442fbacked No | 2c | 3,115$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b94…473ebacked No | 8c | 3,057$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed No | 18c | 3,027$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…44fabacked No | 66c | 3,000$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…b3f9backed No | 3c | 3,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed No | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf11…38a4backed No | 5c | 2,987$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 38c | 2,921$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 72c | 2,887$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.64 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1887…92c1backed No | 1c | 2,885$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…a882backed No | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 78c | 2,857$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…0793backed No | 2c | 2,782$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 47c | 2,775$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.62 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x398b…be1fbacked No | 18c | 2,741$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…9717backed No | 13c | 2,654$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…4b34backed No | 11c | 2,644$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.