NFL · resolved market
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59522820a1a43de09d2c08fa03745dced543d5ac8e95cb79a7ace6fb139e7ed3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f60…bbccbacked No | 3c | 11,953$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 10c | 4,156$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,744.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +404.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 9c | 3,332$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,919$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked No | 17c | 1,306$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed No | 1c | 1,172$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 16c | 1,050$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 16c | 968$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked Yes | 18c | 954$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +206.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed Yes | 16c | 931$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +158%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 17c | 824.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.85 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 16c | 809$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed Yes | 18c | 794$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed Yes | 16c | 714$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed Yes | 7c | 649.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.13 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked Yes | 16c | 601$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 16c | 588$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 14c | 572.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.59 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes | 18c | 548$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65a…4a49backed No | 72c | 540.86$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed No | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…30e4backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed No | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…5b88backed Yes | 18c | 487$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 11c | 472.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.3 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed Yes | 18c | 468$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 16c | 454.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes | 18c | 438$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 19c | 419.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.09 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 18c | 408$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 16c | 404$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 10c | 390$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.9 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed No | 41c | 390$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 18c | 389$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed Yes | 16c | 362$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 18c | 338$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 21c | 334.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed Yes | 18c | 330$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e86…6bc9backed Yes | 19c | 307.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.76 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed No | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 15c | 287$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 18c | 244$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 17c | 240$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked Yes | 23c | 224$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 77c | 224$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…9147backed Yes | 8c | 219.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.68 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 18c | 218$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 13c | 212$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.22 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked Yes | 18c | 201$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 9.3%5 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ff…bb6cbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…9e66backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +449%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 9c | 189.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 37c | 186.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.21 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed Yes | 18c | 182$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 16c | 181$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…8feabacked Yes | 15c | 180$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…1b93backed No | 24c | 173.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…978abacked No | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked No | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 16c | 149$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes | 16c | 147$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 32c | 145.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 16c | 145$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes | 18c | 143$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes | 17c | 132$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 17c | 100.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…0506backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…f362backed Yes | 14c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +589.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…a43cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…f7ebbacked No | 80c | 97.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 12c | 96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 95.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65e…afadbacked Yes | 53c | 94.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 16c | 83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x376e…0d34backed Yes | 14c | 80.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +597%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 16c | 67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 42c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…2d41backed Yes | 66c | 63.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa3…841cbacked Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 30c | 58.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…1366backed No | 71c | 57.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 33c | 55.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed No | 77c | 53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 61cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?this page
- Will Jim Harbaugh be fired by February 28?No won
- Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?Yes won
- Will Kevin Stefanski be fired by February 28?Yes won
- Will Matt LaFleur be fired by February 28?No won
- Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?Yes won
- Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?Yes won
- Will Mike McDaniel be fired by February 28?Yes won
- Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.