NFL · resolved market
Will Mike McDaniel be fired by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x607f95229127482444d9955be14090eaf22fb34d3eb94326d3784f60c92a24f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 13c | 2,306$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed No | 77c | 1,918$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 28c | 1,528$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 15c | 1,438$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.3 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 12c | 1,332$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 12c | 1,332$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked No | 7c | 1,300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked No | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed Yes | 29c | 1,115$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed No | 70c | 994$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes | 29c | 978$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 70c | 956$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 22c | 844$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed No | 7c | 800$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed Yes | 30c | 789$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed Yes | 30c | 776$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 71c | 775$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 30c | 759$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Yes | 19c | 725.44$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 78c | 722$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed No | 78c | 717$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed Yes | 30c | 703$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f0…f05fbacked No | 75c | 660$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 71c | 655$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…fe19backed Yes | 12c | 650$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +383.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 14c | 648$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed Yes | 29c | 630$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked No | 71c | 625.22$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.15 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed No | 5c | 599.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes | 30c | 589$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed No | 70c | 562$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 33c | 560$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 5c | 550$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 54 | 9.3%5 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed No | 71c | 549$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed No | 70c | 539$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes | 31c | 539$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 71c | 516$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed Yes | 29c | 481$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…6c75backed No | 69c | 475$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed No | 67c | 472$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…0c79backed Yes | 30c | 447$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 29c | 444$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 30c | 439$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 70c | 423$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 31c | 420$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed No | 69c | 379$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 71c | 374$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 68c | 373.95$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.03 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2945…862ebacked Yes | 14c | 361.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +623%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…cacebacked No | 69c | 340$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 71c | 337$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde08…f416backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 67c | 308$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 71c | 302$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed No | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 71c | 293$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 30c | 289$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked Yes | 30c | 289$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 31c | 278$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…7fc6backed Yes | 29c | 267$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed No | 71c | 267$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 30c | 266$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed No | 69c | 254.03$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 70c | 227$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked No | 70c | 201$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes | 33c | 186$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 75c | 161$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 78c | 155$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 150.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 29c | 145$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 30c | 137$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 135.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 69c | 132$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 20c | 130$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.62 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…49e3backed Yes | 30c | 126.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed No | 67c | 124$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 67c | 117.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed Yes | 30c | 112$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6bc2backed No | 71c | 107$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…db27backed No | 70c | 102$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…adfebacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 70c | 98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 67c | 88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 30c | 72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked Yes | 21c | 66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed No | 75c | 64.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes | 30c | 61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 25c | 60.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80dc…7cf8backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc763…e8d3backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…0443backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 30c | 47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a59…e94cbacked Yes | 33c | 46.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mike McDaniel be fired by February 28?this page
- Will Jim Harbaugh be fired by February 28?No won
- Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?Yes won
- Will Kevin Stefanski be fired by February 28?Yes won
- Will Matt LaFleur be fired by February 28?No won
- Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?Yes won
- Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?Yes won
- Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?Yes won
- Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.