TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3024…0c79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.2
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.76
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$214.6
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.6
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$114.17
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$217.59
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$31.02
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$90
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$30.8
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$102.69
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$99.11
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.04
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$89.46
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$170.03
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$61.48
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29.58
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$100.38
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.74
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.84
Will Lee Byung-hun be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52.2
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$170.81
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.56
Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.26
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
Will Sinners win Best Original Score – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$115.5
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$122.38
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$318.36
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+177.8%+$59.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-49.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$83.2
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$61.18
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$315.37
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.76
Will Luís Marques Mendes win more than 26% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$65.26
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+28.4%+$3.09
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$44.32
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$47.06
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+152.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+160.4%+$16.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.