NBA · resolved market
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x512759e436a0b29c350b3cf76b75cbc4d1e9960d8b8916daecac9e9a089c2165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15c8…d2d0backed Yes | 4c | 3,010$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 1,195$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 4c | 1,169$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 4c | 1,042$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Yes | 4c | 775.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 4c | 344.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 327.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 9c | 313$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 5c | 256.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 8c | 249$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 10c | 245$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 235.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 8c | 225.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 10c | 208$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 10c | 183$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 10c | 181$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed Yes | 11c | 177$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed Yes | 11c | 175$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…2a6bbacked Yes | 14c | 168$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 9c | 156$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked Yes | 9c | 138$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…0c79backed Yes | 8c | 126$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 10c | 118$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…9bfabacked Yes | 16c | 114$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 25c | 95.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Yes | 27c | 46.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 74c | 18.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?this page
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?Yes won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.