TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42b5…b5b6backed No58c12,619$7,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,269.4860549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes42c11,373$4,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,744.7422140.3%89 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f33…0d05backed No46c8,856$4,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,749.73450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e84…4b92backed Yes36c4,872$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.682536%9 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes47c4,200$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.573423.5%8 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes45c2,014$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.799746.4%45 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2604…13ccbacked No34c1,963$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.583043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes57c1,833$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.4222041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No53c1,618$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.8222750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes16c1,580$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.710542.9%45 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes66c1,534$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.442556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…7260backed No40c1,502$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.162334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed45…929dbacked Yes57c1,495$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.062937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked No34c1,466$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.563145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed No43c1,449$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.142250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14d4…cc6fbacked No34c1,438$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.082564%16 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb862…5aaebacked No34c1,334$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.442045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb772…7b07backed Yes9c1,324$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe309…44c2backed Yes72c1,323$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.561752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes46c1,247$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.0511723.9%28 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes6c1,228$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8240%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…54a7backed No34c1,161$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.261250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed No34c1,158$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.282955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed No44c1,130$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.022040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes72c1,126$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.912020%4 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-58.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf58d…a617backed Yes66c1,103$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab38…77febacked Yes67c1,090$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.381225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x63c2…ca53backed No34c1,081$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.462356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e15…7ff5backed No34c1,062$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.921070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+91.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes34c1,056$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.861,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f5…b461backed No53c1,045$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.153135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes47c1,020$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.926048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8959…50f8backed No35c982$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.71838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes7c978.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.61520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-73.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed Yes66c976.04$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.973339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes63c974$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.231346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ae…44adbacked Yes66c959$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.943033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes66c957$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.621855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed Yes66c953$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.542339.1%9 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked No34c939$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.741838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7546…2d93backed Yes66c922$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.521450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes65c903$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.032356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+82.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked No34c895$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.72152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa457…1a93backed Yes47c875$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.251560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes66c873$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.181861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…db2abacked Yes66c870$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6278…3a93backed Yes66c854$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x668b…3884backed Yes66c836$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.761040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3d…9ef2backed No29c823$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.331942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83be…6f94backed No34c817$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.221735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed No34c805$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.32744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea25…d3aabacked No34c805$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.32951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No69c799.61$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.818853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x169a…55e4backed No28c795$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.41145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8132…a491backed No34c769$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.541163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb2e…7c01backed No34c768$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.881855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Yes13c765.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.422540%10 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No66c764.83$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8113835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes66c757$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.623050%15 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd719…d8e5backed Yes66c744$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.043243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No32c735$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.51770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6034…b5fdbacked Yes66c730$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+133.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed Yes66c722$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.524047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x245c…75e7backed Yes66c716$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.561464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+68%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae18…1132backed No49c706$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.692842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf738…56bdbacked No34c702$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.321442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db2…ebc2backed No28c701$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.721145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…cd55backed Yes66c693$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.692339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed Yes66c690$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.43138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d7…0217backed No31c687$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.541560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e36…2479backed Yes72c680$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.62441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d8…4c30backed No34c657$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.621546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2f…c453backed No32c652$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.362454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a88…513ebacked Yes72c650$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4681040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab88…e0a4backed Yes67c628$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.762846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa906…84e4backed Yes66c624$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.842157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked No34c621$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.862955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd137…ceacbacked Yes72c613$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.981861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+64.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7f…f745backed Yes66c613$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.581450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+60.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed Yes46c613$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.441926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-52.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd907…f15fbacked Yes72c599$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.282030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe47d…907bbacked Yes66c589$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.741833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed Yes66c587$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.423450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed No34c587$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.421546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5784…4018backed No53c586$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.422050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe6…d8e3backed Yes66c569$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.541353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d05…305bbacked No34c549$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.341861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6891…1146backed No28c548$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+76.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6499…05d2backed Yes66c539$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.743141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6159…7501backed No30c538$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.942445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No62c537.71$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.041,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea7…2550backed Yes73c534$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.821540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…ee5abacked No28c533$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.762147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f51…09adbacked No28c530$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.61747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x809a…f315backed Yes61c530$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.42240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe36c…a6f0backed No34c523$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.182161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6558…e485backed Yes66c507$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.622751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2e…fe02backed Yes66c506$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c1…704bbacked Yes66c506$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.961421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e08…d84cbacked Yes73c501.19$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.242638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.