TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ea7…2550

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: World Politics, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 59 out of 100; worst Movies at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.86
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.34
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.87
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$175.68
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$219.3
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.82
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$532.44
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$402.67
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$436.24
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$356.64
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$292.3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$241.85
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.48
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$155.36
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$138.04
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$294.37
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$64.37
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.25
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$288.4
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.7
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$40.12
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.82
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.66
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.06
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.92
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$143.28
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$214.62
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$177.12
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.54
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$129.6
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$77.72
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$140.4
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.38
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$289.1
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$154.56
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.24
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.95
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$54.99
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$265.75
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.37
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+334.8%+$179.41
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$111.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.11
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.36
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$930.75
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$602.94
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.88
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$101.28
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.6
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+257.1%+$134.64
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$40.53
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$236
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$122.88
Will Severance win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$57.65
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$101.76
Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44.54
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.21
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$81.9
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.65
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$62.35
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$197.96
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$200.88
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.88
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$398.58
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$125.59
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$75.84
Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$70.5
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$350.13
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$397.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+114.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$50.4
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$303.6
Canada recession before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.07
Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$108.78
Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$547.47
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.4
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$57.8
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$2,011.44
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$153.4
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33.44
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+60.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+214.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+400%+$133.6
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$92.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+156.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$113.74
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$456.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.82
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$33.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+284.6%+$56.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$76.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oregon and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$51.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$672
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.