NBA · resolved market
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe83705e439d7cf23d2b23423bb20da7f3add75f6623bcada9cffdc7ece883d80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 19c | 6,668$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.79 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 76c | 5,533$4,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.84 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 20c | 5,026$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.63 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 29c | 3,288$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.26 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes | 78c | 2,976$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.34 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed No | 29c | 2,565$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 40c | 2,135$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.74 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…9f5cbacked No | 33c | 1,909$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…debabacked Yes | 59c | 1,748$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked No | 51c | 1,488$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 75c | 1,488$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.2 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 74c | 1,477$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.28 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…56bdbacked Yes | 57c | 1,454$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 19c | 1,400$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed No | 24c | 1,343$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Yes | 79c | 1,326$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.88 | 203 | 56.7%115 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes | 63c | 1,318$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked No | 42c | 1,270$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 40c | 1,262$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed No | 51c | 1,188$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,163$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.13 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…ec75backed Yes | 67c | 1,116$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.05 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 65c | 1,074$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.64 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed Yes | 61c | 1,038$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.82 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked No | 51c | 1,030$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed Yes | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 22c | 1,022$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.64 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 49c | 1,014$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 49c | 991$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 74c | 982$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.29 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…ab94backed Yes | 49c | 968$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 22c | 954.23$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.58 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed Yes | 49c | 922$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…9bc7backed No | 51c | 903$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked No | 48c | 902$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.49 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 34c | 890$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.74 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed Yes | 48c | 885$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.27 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed Yes | 50c | 878$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed No | 51c | 876$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked No | 51c | 870$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked No | 33c | 853$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.26 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 54c | 840$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed No | 39c | 833$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.87 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Yes | 49c | 784$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…3764backed Yes | 74c | 779$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed No | 26c | 760$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed No | 51c | 755$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed No | 50c | 732$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…b486backed Yes | 61c | 724$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…202dbacked Yes | 68c | 719.99$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.85 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked No | 35c | 714$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes | 49c | 671$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed No | 51c | 664$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed No | 51c | 650$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 38c | 646$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.48 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed No | 51c | 643$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed No | 39c | 641$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 51c | 634$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.34 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked No | 51c | 629$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed No | 39c | 615$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 49c | 614$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.79 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes | 50c | 612$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked No | 51c | 609$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed Yes | 46c | 602$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…3734backed Yes | 49c | 599$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked No | 42c | 598$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.16 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…8e46backed Yes | 49c | 592$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked No | 51c | 589$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 50c | 587.77$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.65 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 22c | 582.35$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 68c | 578$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.96 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed Yes | 60c | 571$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…fab9backed Yes | 49c | 562$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed No | 39c | 545$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 51c | 545$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.95 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 40c | 530$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.01 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 58c | 529$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed Yes | 60c | 528$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed No | 53c | 523$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…49f3backed No | 50c | 517$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…ba85backed Yes | 49c | 508$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 59c | 507$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.87 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 20c | 505.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 62c | 504$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…6c75backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 40c | 500$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.66 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +117%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 56c | 490$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.06 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed No | 42c | 487$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked No | 38c | 483$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73df…ba67backed Yes | 49c | 475$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…3fefbacked No | 25c | 474.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 62c | 469$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked No | 41c | 469$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.29 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…b18ebacked No | 50c | 469$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked Yes | 60c | 466$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…1a6fbacked No | 41c | 465.85$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 40c | 464$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…afd9backed Yes | 67c | 464$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked No | 51c | 448$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Knicks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards make the NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.