TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed No19c6,668$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.7939435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes76c5,533$4,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.8410542.9%45 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked No20c5,026$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.6395641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No29c3,288$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.2622243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes78c2,976$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.3419047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed No29c2,565$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.72339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No40c2,135$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.7425845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca6b…9f5cbacked No33c1,909$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.76922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-58%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0acc…debabacked Yes59c1,748$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.32742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe47d…907bbacked No51c1,488$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.881833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes75c1,488$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.290863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Yes74c1,477$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2817250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf738…56bdbacked Yes57c1,454$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.961442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed No19c1,400$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2653330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid-12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x413a…0008backed No24c1,343$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.551442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick23cpaid+195.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Yes79c1,326$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8820356.7%115 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes63c1,318$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.661450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e35…384fbacked No42c1,270$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.41625%4 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee9e…efb7backed No40c1,262$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.82653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8718…6741backed No51c1,188$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.881216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-48.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3acc…973dbacked Yes49c1,163$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.131275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Yes67c1,116$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.0512329.3%36 W · 87 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes65c1,074$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.6422041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…1272backed Yes61c1,038$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.821782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+76.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0733…cd5abacked No51c1,030$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.31457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+67%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x465c…6e53backed Yes49c1,024$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.241250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No22c1,022$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.642733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+37.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad46…0918backed Yes49c1,014$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.141428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes49c991$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.411560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes74c982$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.297337%27 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x524c…ab94backed Yes49c968$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.68650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No22c954.23$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5826048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fbf…7328backed Yes49c922$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.221266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22e7…9bc7backed No51c903$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.531233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked No48c902$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.492955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5cf…90e6backed No34c890$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.743145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293b…09a9backed Yes48c885$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.272642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb28…74f4backed Yes50c878$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4391266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f3d…9ef2backed No51c876$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.761942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec3…3adcbacked No51c870$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.71546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb85b…77dbbacked No33c853$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.263737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1056…5b18backed Yes54c840$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.43050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb88…6b99backed No39c833$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.872931%9 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b82…1712backed Yes49c784$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.841741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcabd…3764backed Yes74c779$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5214…95c9backed No26c760$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.62339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8153backed No51c755$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.051546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e29…d190backed No50c732$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.721752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53de…b486backed Yes61c724$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.361735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…202dbacked Yes68c719.99$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.852564%16 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d9…bacbbacked No35c714$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.562035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3572030%6 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes49c671$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.211338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e3e…0959backed No51c664$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.641145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0956…9aa4backed No51c650$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.51338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed No38c646$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.481735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76fd…e8c4backed No51c643$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.931747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…ea40backed No39c641$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.992445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed No51c634$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.342450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6576…f0abbacked No51c629$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.791145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7321…1812backed No39c615$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.852035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed No49c614$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.794047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes50c612$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b45…836ebacked No51c609$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.591241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2f…c453backed Yes46c602$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.962454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…3734backed Yes49c599$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.492050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked No42c598$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.162740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88f1…8e46backed Yes49c592$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.921346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204d…08cbbacked No51c589$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.391172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+69.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No50c587.77$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.651,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No22c582.35$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0626336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa906…84e4backed Yes68c578$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.962157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc40a…1f50backed Yes60c571$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.41650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc0…fab9backed Yes49c562$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.62850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd7d…5bc1backed No39c545$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.551533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed No51c545$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.953339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bef…1e38backed No40c530$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.012744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes58c529$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.182157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4c5…dcb1backed Yes60c528$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.21346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+51.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b32…c8a9backed No53c523$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6478…49f3backed No50c517$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13b6…ba85backed Yes49c508$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.081560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+66.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes59c507$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.872236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No20c505.84$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1710450%52 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked Yes62c504$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.523148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ead…6c75backed Yes58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed Yes40c500$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.662850%14 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+117%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2604…13ccbacked Yes56c490$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.063043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed No42c487$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.542955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f3…be1dbacked No38c483$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.542450%12 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73df…ba67backed Yes49c475$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.251540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…3fefbacked No25c474.87$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.43933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes62c469$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.221838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked No41c469$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.292733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce16…b18ebacked No50c469$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+55.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ef…095ebacked Yes60c466$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e78…1a6fbacked No41c465.85$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1914860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed No40c464$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.63138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3909…afd9backed Yes67c464$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.38742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d17…0e2bbacked No51c448$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.481127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.