TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb28…74f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.1
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.19
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.47
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$300.56
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$65.19
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$119.68
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+525%+$298.2
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+150%+$440.4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$423.28
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$267.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+222.6%+$55.2
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$209.44
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$263.97
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$115.2
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.99
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$636.4
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$27.72
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.94
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$187.66
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150%+$340.8
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$77.4
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$154.02
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60.04
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.92
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.43
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.75
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$218.67
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$116.76
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$439
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$196.5
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.2
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$145.2
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.29
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$273
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$212.05
Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.93
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.68
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$103.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$162.84
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.92
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$133.66
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$376.5
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+334.8%+$192.5
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.17
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+177.8%+$266.24
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$254.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-68.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.74
Will "President" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$210.25
Will Retirement Plan win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.72
Will Lee Byung-hun be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$105.48
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$202.65
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$178.35
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$402.57
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$123.4
Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$108
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+94.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$232.4
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$91.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$215.76
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$221.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$166.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$929.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$65.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$29.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$212.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$123.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.