Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7327ee0a2475c2c9b4a1ac7bb4e1b49fce57c2a33ebf704e03630ec800f2944
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x298c…67fbbacked No | 54c | 1,072$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed Yes | 46c | 942$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5e…37b3backed No | 28c | 823.2$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.53 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 77c | 819.86$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.86 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 79c | 795.25$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.59 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 46c | 694$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed Yes | 34c | 692$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed No | 54c | 685$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed No | 18c | 671.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 23c | 625.28$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.52 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed No | 9c | 551.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 35c | 512.62$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 78c | 450$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…8ec9backed Yes | 46c | 440$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 65c | 432.55$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.29 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked No | 54c | 422$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…e9dbbacked No | 55c | 378$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…dc22backed Yes | 62c | 364.7$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.06 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed No | 66c | 347$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…ba85backed Yes | 46c | 338$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 54c | 332.95$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.58 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 79c | 309$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 54c | 305$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 28c | 292.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.78 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 57c | 247.92$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed Yes | 46c | 245$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…ab94backed Yes | 44c | 239$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…a48fbacked No | 56c | 239$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 18c | 234.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…832ebacked Yes | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…d8e3backed Yes | 45c | 218$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 18c | 217.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed No | 54c | 215$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 21c | 211.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 12c | 209.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 66c | 201$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…be68backed No | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 26c | 190.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 35c | 164.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 36c | 154.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked No | 66c | 144$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 13c | 140.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 10c | 127.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 74c | 100.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 21c | 90.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e4…d097backed Yes | 78c | 90.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…a098backed Yes | 56c | 87.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…7521backed Yes | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 21c | 79.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…c3b5backed Yes | 54c | 68.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 21c | 65.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 46c | 63.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4485…eec6backed No | 31c | 63.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 27c | 62.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 56c | 62.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 57c | 62.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…6e05backed Yes | 62c | 61.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 35c | 60.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…f0b5backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 46c | 53.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…8f89backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…bc55backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…0086backed No | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 27c | 42.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…a3bdbacked Yes | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27bc…eb65backed Yes | 45c | 38.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…5a47backed Yes | 50c | 37.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f44…7470backed Yes | 35c | 35.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…a6b7backed Yes | 64c | 34.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…4c7cbacked Yes | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…3e31backed Yes | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked No | 43c | 31.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…75a6backed Yes | 56c | 30.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…f4a7backed Yes | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e9…dcf1backed Yes | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413b…dc9cbacked Yes | 58c | 27.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 49c | 27.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…382dbacked Yes | 52c | 26.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e8…2903backed No | 54c | 26.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c03…6519backed Yes | 47c | 25.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…b261backed Yes | 78c | 23.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…c617backed Yes | 49c | 22.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…74c6backed No | 53c | 20.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…e967backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…849cbacked Yes | 77c | 18.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…9ba8backed Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bd…e77cbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?this page
- Will Gary Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
- Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
- Will Nick Albares be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
- Will Tracie Burke be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.