TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5885…6562

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Stocks, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$342.6
Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.36
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$63.42
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94.3
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$222.39
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$196.42
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$224
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$61.65
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$106.72
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$89.78
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$151.32
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$395.66
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200.75
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$91.28
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$143.62
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$183.48
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$64.19
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25%+$47.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.22
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.95
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.24
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$162.48
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$408.43
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+376.2%+$694.41
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$169.65
Will "Sinners" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$498.8
Will Marshall Curry - SNL50: Beyond Saturday Night win Best Director of a Documentary Series or News at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$547.4
Will George Clooney be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$54.36
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$72.93
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$328.02
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$62.31
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 24m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Will Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (Jay Kelly) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$38.75
Will "My Secret Santa" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$20.28
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$105.3
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$231.57
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.6
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$252.39
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$369.36
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$399.52
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$246.74
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$338.4
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$62.16
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+94.3%+$136.87
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$784.88
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.6%+$41.04
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$38.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$440.1
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$120.12
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.52
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$151.36
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$123.24
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$177.38
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$558.29
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22.88
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$213.18
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$105.84
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$14.8
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$63.64
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+132.6%+$210.9
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.42
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$223.37
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-59.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.12
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.24
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$71.12
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.4
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.82
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.09
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.97
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.54
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+150%+$603
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.59
Will Luís Marques Mendes win more than 26% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$37.18
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$54
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$91.8
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.06
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.17
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,308.16
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.08
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$259
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$64.08
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$59.73
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.34
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+37.1%+$229.13
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+50.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+323.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$175.44
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$94.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+426.3%+$563.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Partizan vs. BC Dubaibacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$673.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$172.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$272.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+25%+$72.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be fewer than 3 major space weather events this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.