World Politics · resolved market
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2fd17d2e40ae1383947568da2ad2437369d87952aa443710f9d11a189322656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a6b…6c65backed No | 0c | 3,408$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked Yes | 70c | 2,011$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…15ddbacked No | 34c | 1,461$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,175$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…1c15backed Yes | 78c | 1,079$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +171.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 78c | 1,075$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…36eebacked Yes | 78c | 1,066$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…4ab2backed Yes | 78c | 992$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed Yes | 78c | 978$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed Yes | 75c | 976$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 78c | 956$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed Yes | 51c | 951$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed No | 22c | 949$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked Yes | 78c | 935$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…ea28backed Yes | 78c | 868$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes | 80c | 850$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…c0d4backed No | 34c | 848$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…7861backed No | 49c | 834$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked No | 34c | 728$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed No | 22c | 718$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4b…1fb3backed No | 22c | 683$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 41cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…1ccbbacked No | 22c | 677$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked No | 25c | 673$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…aff0backed Yes | 78c | 656$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…b167backed Yes | 66c | 609$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked No | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…57e8backed No | 22c | 591$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed Yes | 66c | 568$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…2d93backed No | 22c | 563$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 10c | 509.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 20c | 509$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…50c0backed No | 25c | 506$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed No | 22c | 504$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…b46ebacked No | 22c | 484$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…827bbacked No | 21c | 476$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 78c | 458$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +199.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…2310backed No | 22c | 458$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…1f63backed No | 22c | 443$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6090…c78abacked No | 23c | 433.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 66c | 426$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed No | 34c | 420$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…cd36backed No | 25c | 405$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed No | 21c | 390$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked Yes | 78c | 387$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…6e2ebacked No | 22c | 373$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed Yes | 78c | 371$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed No | 22c | 370$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…9357backed No | 34c | 356$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 34c | 353$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed No | 22c | 347$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1100…815ebacked No | 20c | 341$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…cfefbacked No | 22c | 339$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 66c | 336$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Yes | 78c | 327$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed No | 22c | 327$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes | 66c | 325$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed No | 22c | 324$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed No | 22c | 321$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…e13abacked Yes | 78c | 321$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed Yes | 66c | 317$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +73%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked Yes | 79c | 315$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed No | 21c | 315$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed No | 25c | 303$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe02backed Yes | 78c | 299$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…b418backed No | 22c | 299$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 78c | 290$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…6f21backed No | 22c | 286$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…6279backed No | 34c | 268$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…ad32backed No | 25c | 264$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed No | 22c | 214$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed No | 22c | 209$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…bf60backed No | 50c | 199.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed Yes | 66c | 196$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…7572backed Yes | 66c | 195$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 34c | 190$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes | 75c | 184.75$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f51…c63cbacked No | 22c | 178$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Yes | 66c | 171$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed No | 22c | 167$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…db77backed No | 22c | 164$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…44d3backed No | 39c | 160.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f4…0d0dbacked Yes | 78c | 149.27$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed Yes | 78c | 146$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…d3a5backed Yes | 74c | 130.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 78c | 130.68$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 110 | 69.1%76 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…df1ebacked No | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…ebdcbacked No | 22c | 129$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 14c | 113.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 59c | 110.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed No | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes | 74c | 90.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 18c | 89.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…5052backed No | 30c | 77.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4d9bbacked No | 26c | 77.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14aa…ae2bbacked No | 43c | 76.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…da25backed No | 22c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 49c | 71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed No | 22c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…be04backed No | 22c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +228.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?this page
- Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "International" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Venezuela" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.