TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa71c…d0a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst Movies at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.04
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.98
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.84
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.84
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.54
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$203.09
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$163.48
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$31.96
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$92.34
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$191.1
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$406.83
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$389.36
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$137.28
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$91.2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$169.67
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$42.12
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+270.4%+$492.02
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$182.16
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$224.37
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.16
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$143.7
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.66
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$430.2
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.61
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.04
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.32
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$159.63
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$128.25
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+53.6%+$149.02
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-52.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.47
Will Zendaya attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.29
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.99
Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$214.42
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$73.25
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$262.28
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Producer of Documentary Film at the 37th PGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$360.72
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$115.43
Will "Sentimental Value" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$54.48
Will Mike Sweeney - Conan O'Brien Must Go win Best Director of a Reality / Quiz & Game at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$161
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+92.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+223.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$107.94
Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$147.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Kholood Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.96
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$372.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Wavesbacked Pepperdine Waves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$676.24
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)backed South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$131.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked sleepers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+143.9%+$360.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$96.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 - April 5 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.