TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,011 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5cbe…04b4backed No64c2,739$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…e065backed Yes30c2,013$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9859…0176backed No61c1,986$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x612d…3fd1backed Yes38c1,986$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2b…a065backed Yes23c1,430$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4883…ce56backed No77c1,042$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db2…ebc2backed Yes39c1,024$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5829…e46bbacked No79c968$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+158.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9f9ebacked No61c967$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc1…d40bbacked Yes39c962$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+257.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x605c…83dcbacked Yes36c940$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x636a…09aabacked Yes36c912$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e77…3273backed No62c902$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabeb…7a78backed Yes38c902$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dd…5514backed Yes39c898$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+203%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa71c…d0a8backed Yes15c895$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18fa…3730backed Yes15c889$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fcc…8ef0backed Yes36c887$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0666…9fa3backed Yes39c867$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8697…4165backed Yes12c860$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed No70c842$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02b…e86dbacked No62c839$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc0…fab9backed No61c798$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd07…0058backed No62c794$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x965d…7773backed Yes16c731$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd215…b4eebacked No70c703$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa151…13b4backed No70c682$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c643.39$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.915,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d48…d6f1backed No70c628$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7e…275ebacked Yes31c579.82$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed No68c570$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaffd…b072backed Yes32c563$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9a…f183backed Yes17c557$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes21c556.92$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3884943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No67c551$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6481651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3d…aa1abacked Yes32c550$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6891…1146backed No68c543$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x217e…09debacked Yes21c517$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes33c502$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1312736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes30c481$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes23c470.38$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.486731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ec3…3adcbacked Yes21c451$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed Yes11c446$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc03…cd5cbacked Yes38c424$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3acc…973dbacked No62c424$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes38c424$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed No77c388$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d2…39f0backed Yes30c378$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a37…141abacked Yes11c356$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9bd…4d4cbacked No62c353$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x425a…78cbbacked No76c350$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked No69c326.66$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce16…b18ebacked No70c239$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c225.41$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.511,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaae6…3d05backed Yes30c222$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes29c215$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.352133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…585bbacked Yes57c157.1$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c07…956bbacked Yes17c154$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdad6…0d14backed Yes43c153.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9580%0 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked No62c149$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce55…c888backed Yes17c143$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x354c…b301backed Yes17c142$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x523d…cc1dbacked No62c138$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf8…c7afbacked No62c137$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb890…a592backed Yes24c129$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf351…6284backed Yes24c121$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6813…39e6backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3751654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307032.9%23 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No78c83.1$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2528158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes30c79.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick39cpaid-85%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No61c79.1$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.951,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0816160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0817857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0819056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes32c75.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.11,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes32c67.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6271619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4901…8832backed Yes23c59.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.88333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No65c53.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7416842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1b…a148backed Yes26c45.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b4…96a4backed Yes36c44.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.842445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb9…b132backed Yes32c43.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c42.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.528,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes31c39.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.541,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7178…4052backed Yes32c31.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No73c26.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.179229.3%27 W · 65 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.24971.4%35 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No69c18.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7421266.5%141 W · 71 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No68c16.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3181740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No68c15.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8833560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No68c15.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8819955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No68c15.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8816759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No69c15.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7718154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No69c15.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7718859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No69c15.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7763657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No69c15.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7744959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No69c15.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7765058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No69c15.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7736757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No69c15.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.777857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed No69c15.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.773764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.