TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb890…a592

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.56
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.76
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$61.44
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.97
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+59%+$93.84
Will Noah Wyle win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28.56
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$38.28
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.12
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$194.82
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.04
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21.12
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$21.39
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.14
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+354.5%+$207.48
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$67.69
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$88.92
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$47.94
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$95.28
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+65.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.88
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$63.96
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$64.92
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$28.83
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$46.64
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.84
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$95.94
Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$105.6
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.56
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.56
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$32.13
Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.44
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.14
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$77.6
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+36.6%+$192.69
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+334.8%+$436.59
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$65.32
Will Claude win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.06
Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.08
Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+35.3%+$15.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-79.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick38cpaid+248.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$36.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$191.42
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$635.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+90.5%+$24.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?backed SpaceX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$27.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Harbaugh join the Atlanta Falcons prior to April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$89.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul walk out to Paper Planes by M.I.A.?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$91.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brandon Steven be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$60.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.