Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52b859d3ed128f5e14523c372f361fc27ae0ada1c423aefc9bb1df9e894279af

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 20, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $216,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $205,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,010 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd588…cec0backed Yes	1c	31,936$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.98	85	21.2%18 W · 67 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	5,938$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.69	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x402e…5d12backed Yes	4c	5,520$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.57	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-33%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	6c	4,561$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	131	31.3%41 W · 90 L	+12.1wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	+164.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x092b…8d73backed Yes	45c	4,431$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	3,951$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.47	233	3.4%8 W · 225 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa3…422fbacked Yes	3c	3,800$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.67	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x544e…df41backed Yes	6c	3,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.23per pick	46cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	3,100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	171	2.9%5 W · 166 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfa22…11b9backed Yes	11c	2,905$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec96…ee81backed Yes	4c	2,814$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c45…1804backed Yes	4c	2,472$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	2,350$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	244	2%5 W · 239 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fc…bfadbacked Yes	11c	2,226$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.9	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Yes	5c	2,194$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.12	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x129b…24c4backed No	78c	2,088$1,636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.92	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+6.7wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No	26c	1,787$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,322.08	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+128.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	1,752$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.39	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcd…c2acbacked Yes	1c	1,712$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef0…8ea6backed Yes	15c	1,706$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes	10c	1,654$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.05	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	1,305$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.48	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	3c	1,264$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.13	112	2.7%3 W · 109 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4228…e9d8backed Yes	2c	1,240$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.21per pick	12cpaid	+217%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3285…745fbacked Yes	9c	1,145$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.79	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ce…3c8ebacked Yes	14c	1,061$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.49	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	3c	1,057$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.6	119	0.8%1 W · 118 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-85.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1821…df61backed Yes	5c	1,027$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c78…13edbacked Yes	3c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c9f…b1e2backed Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa110…ebcabacked Yes	13c	996$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63a2…3dfcbacked Yes	16c	939$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	2c	905$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	123	4.1%5 W · 118 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb28…74f4backed Yes	14c	882$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2573…0c73backed Yes	17c	855.98$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.43	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864a…9ed1backed Yes	16c	765$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae4…d837backed Yes	14c	757$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fa…9cf7backed Yes	15c	697$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.55	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c2…ca53backed Yes	14c	592$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.88	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7170…ed44backed Yes	16c	579$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.64	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…f7eabacked Yes	16c	577$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c3…7dd2backed Yes	14c	566.8$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.52	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd66…0919backed Yes	27c	563.65$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa1…827bbacked Yes	14c	557$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	3c	554.93$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.73	209	4.3%9 W · 200 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9774…6d3cbacked Yes	16c	531$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebd…c462backed Yes	3c	526.35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.34	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes	14c	501$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.14	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2e92backed Yes	9c	500.25$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-78.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b07…782bbacked Yes	9c	500$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.53	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a2…9452backed Yes	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	5c	470.16$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.57	349	5.7%20 W · 329 L	-25.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13b6…ba85backed Yes	16c	465$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd8…757abacked Yes	16c	461$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.76	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82dd…5514backed Yes	16c	417$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed Yes	16c	416$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.56	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff6…1855backed Yes	13c	416$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.7	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-52%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x070e…52d9backed Yes	6c	398.94$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.94	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0042…e62fbacked Yes	14c	385$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a9c…c336backed Yes	15c	382$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.51	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb119…f8cdbacked Yes	3c	376.63$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes	17c	370.7$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.87	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked Yes	14c	369.6$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.21	99	42.4%42 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes	14c	358$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.12	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd41…3796backed Yes	16c	341$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f52…a35abacked Yes	14c	324$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.36	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadc9…5856backed Yes	14c	310$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b2…ea4ebacked Yes	16c	307$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes	15c	279$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.85	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-75%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x234a…cbffbacked Yes	14c	260$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1006…0611backed Yes	8c	252.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c7…71b4backed Yes	7c	244.86$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.19	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	12c	241.47$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.29	76	21.1%16 W · 60 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…ee5abacked Yes	14c	238$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.32	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x385f…3c30backed Yes	16c	234$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.44	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes	14c	229$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.06	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x128e…001dbacked Yes	16c	218$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfa…3888backed Yes	16c	207$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.12	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa172…b716backed No	65c	205$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.75	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-4.3wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	8c	189.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	254	22%56 W · 198 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes	14c	183$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.62	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e5…bc26backed Yes	6c	177.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab38…77febacked Yes	14c	156$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.84	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes	9c	154.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	107	56.1%60 W · 47 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5056…f991backed Yes	16c	151$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8043…91c8backed Yes	9c	150$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-5.4wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes	16c	149$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.84	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc80…7bd2backed Yes	16c	138$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.08	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe513…b842backed Yes	14c	137$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.18	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253f…e642backed Yes	14c	123$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.22	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eba…71b9backed Yes	8c	118.31$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	12c	117.94$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.68	166	2.4%4 W · 162 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5173…1abcbacked Yes	11c	116.34$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc713…891fbacked Yes	12c	115$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.36per pick	39cpaid	+77.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadd8…8f4bbacked Yes	16c	114$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d93…7f30backed Yes	16c	109$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…b332backed Yes	14c	106$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.84	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2971…b901backed Yes	16c	101$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0b…b8b2backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-54%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	57c	97.29$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.25	463	20.5%95 W · 368 L	-68.1wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?this page
Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?No won
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?No won
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?No won
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?No won
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?No won
Trove FDV above $80M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event