TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc713…891f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
188
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Weather, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 62 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$318.6
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.12
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.2
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will "The Addams Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+270.4%+$485.45
Will Owen Cooper win Best Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+25%+$5.8
Will Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby win Best First-Time Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$218.35
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$195.7
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+30%+$21.25
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.9%+$117.38
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$244.01
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$83.85
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+334.8%+$125.51
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$276.73
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.23
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+149.8%+$55.77
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$33.44
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39.39
Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$60.14
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$57.72
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$83.16
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$97.76
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.96
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$47.6
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.35
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.26
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$258.98
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.1
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$22.35
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$145.35
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+248.8%+$353.78
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$55.5
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.53
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.35
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$564.2
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$37.52
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.74
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.21
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.76
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$317.44
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$47.56
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.88
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.36
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$108.07
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$26.63
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$45.75
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$132.9
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.25
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$80.3
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+165.1%+$379.25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$523.77
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.13
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$84.48
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.79
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$252.85
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$198.18
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+194.1%+$256.08
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$292
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$104.72
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.27
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$175.15
Will the US strike Syria next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$81.22
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$27.44
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$67.65
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$42.24
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.47
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.35
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35.91
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.22
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$33.21
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31.2
All 24 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.9wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+82.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.32
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81%+$285.6
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.6
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.36
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$274.36
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$182.28
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$129.58
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$162.24
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+455.6%+$48.38
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$111.36
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+251.3%+$613.78
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+496%+$110.69
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+33.6%+$27.9
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+376.2%+$75.84
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.54
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.7%+$68.96
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+300%+$314.25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.18
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$34.86
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$9.72
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.7
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$217.65
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$177.74
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$143.08
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$452.35
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.74
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.51
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$161.7
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.92
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$169.05
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$161.05
Will Gemini win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$32.92
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$59.28
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$48.14
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.4
Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$178.64
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$46.01
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$283.5
Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$147.49
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+455.6%+$200.08
Will the Los Angeles Chargers be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$285.76
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$270.81
Will Mike McDaniel be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+233.3%+$531.3
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$112.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.85
Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.25
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$85.36
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$65.92
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+105.6%+$206.99
Will António José Seguro win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+29.9%+$109.71
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+25%+$152.8
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 10% and 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.02
Will Catalin Drula finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.25
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.91
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$153.9
Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$44.54
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$433.1
Will Mills flip Platner for Maine Dem Senate Primary Winner by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$50.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+77.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid+203%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+243.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+32.8%+$228.23
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$88.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$128.5
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffinsbacked Grand Rapids Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.88
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$34.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$22.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$151.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BYU make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)backed Real Oviedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$128.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.