Olympics · resolved market
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x687aed0bc6b4ba07493c86ab0927edcbe38e4db5885999b7313770ccef994b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,998,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,527,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,998,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 496 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 7c | 138,649$9,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,288.47 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 15c | 122,425$18,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,091.78 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…c46fbacked Yes | 25c | 83,000$20,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,401.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4e…1370backed Yes | 7c | 63,661$4,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,644.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -68%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 61,813$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.28 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 10c | 54,176$5,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,242.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 11c | 52,925$5,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,953.54 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 15c | 44,382$6,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,788.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 1c | 41,709$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 15c | 30,276$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560.39 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 9c | 24,928$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.89 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 2c | 23,874$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 11c | 21,047$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Yes | 1c | 18,657$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 15,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07c…aa73backed Yes | 0c | 15,461$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…6364backed Yes | 1c | 15,132$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 7c | 14,000$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd8…f8c7backed Yes | 1c | 13,549$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 2c | 13,371$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.13 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 15c | 12,406$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.72 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…8ed7backed No | 78c | 12,082$9,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Yes | 26c | 11,100$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…81b9backed No | 74c | 10,896$8,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 24c | 10,757$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7938…95ccbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…e857backed Yes | 7c | 9,960$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 18c | 9,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 9c | 8,138$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 14c | 7,998$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 7,758$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.3 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 18c | 7,716$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.77 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 7,442$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.8 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…02ecbacked Yes | 2c | 6,882$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…1284backed Yes | 27c | 6,686$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 8c | 6,676$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa777…f847backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd90…ab3ebacked Yes | 14c | 6,014$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Yes | 19c | 6,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…372dbacked Yes | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 79c | 6,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 5c | 5,988$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 6c | 5,907$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 1c | 5,651$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 16c | 5,552$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.96 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 5,516$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked Yes | 11c | 5,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed6…8840backed Yes | 8c | 5,137$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f24…513ebacked Yes | 10c | 5,040$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…a886backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 11c | 4,947$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.28 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed No | 73c | 4,933$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.86 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 14c | 4,700$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.41 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 7c | 4,658$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 8c | 4,656$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.11 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 20c | 4,460$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 10c | 4,322$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.75 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…76c4backed Yes | 28c | 4,304$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 13c | 4,163$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 11c | 4,090$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked No | 74c | 4,078$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da8…8d72backed Yes | 15c | 4,075$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Yes | 15c | 4,068$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.52 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…5131backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…2f97backed Yes | 1c | 3,985$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…68dbbacked Yes | 7c | 3,935$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 16c | 3,900$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 10c | 3,882$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…df8ebacked No | 80c | 3,715$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked No | 75c | 3,667$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 5c | 3,538$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 23c | 3,500$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…14e4backed Yes | 27c | 3,489$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 18c | 3,454$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.02 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0898…3c6dbacked Yes | 6c | 3,410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 3,400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…1f41backed Yes | 21c | 3,350$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 7c | 2,995$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,963$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,893$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed Yes | 17c | 2,884$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 7c | 2,778$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,710$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 2,709$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 14c | 2,610$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 77c | 2,605$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 80c | 2,605$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6f43backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 23c | 2,397$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.92 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…9396backed Yes | 1c | 2,369$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd5…d861backed Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bf…5fa8backed Yes | 1c | 2,203$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 78c | 2,154$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95f…f988backed Yes | 27c | 2,126$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…536ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.