Olympics · resolved market
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dde2865d61deaeae5e1ed23c3cc2d3645f354f807d46d8108df293f8681b9a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,570,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,614,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,570,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 13c | 86,389$11,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,540.54 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 8c | 78,140$6,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,486.49 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 9c | 50,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 4c | 49,890$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.51 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 8c | 41,344$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked No | 9c | 35,583$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 21c | 34,620$7,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,270.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked No | 8c | 32,698$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 37c | 24,828$9,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,191.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…a17cbacked Yes | 67c | 23,089$15,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,535.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed No | 14c | 22,705$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 23c | 22,143$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,142.2 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d7…ac2bbacked Yes | 78c | 22,073$17,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,856.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…b86fbacked No | 11c | 21,027$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 65c | 19,669$12,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,850.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 4c | 14,820$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.95 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…a408backed No | 14c | 14,614$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 13c | 14,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.99 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…25aebacked No | 5c | 12,806$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 9c | 12,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…45e0backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 32c | 12,000$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…754cbacked No | 11c | 11,864$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…9e70backed Yes | 78c | 11,759$9,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 11,742$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.65 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes | 65c | 11,352$7,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…977fbacked Yes | 78c | 9,558$7,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…9667backed No | 5c | 9,498$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…8289backed No | 2c | 9,300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 8,782$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.71 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 6c | 8,694$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 13c | 8,519$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.18 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes | 78c | 8,415$6,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 2c | 7,832$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 80c | 7,783$6,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 7,769$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…bbc5backed Yes | 51c | 7,757$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed Yes | 79c | 7,695$6,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 7,499$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fc…35c4backed No | 0c | 7,485$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 61c | 7,365$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfc…98e0backed No | 1c | 7,290$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed No | 12c | 7,249$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.78 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked No | 35c | 7,074$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.19 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 8c | 7,004$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd3…0edbbacked No | 1c | 6,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f362backed Yes | 76c | 6,571$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 65c | 6,558$4,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.6 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…a601backed No | 1c | 6,483$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 1c | 6,214$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed No | 37c | 6,137$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.73 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…cb48backed No | 2c | 6,009$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…df8ebacked Yes | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa84…cc4cbacked No | 13c | 6,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 60c | 5,758$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.06 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7a…d37ebacked No | 5c | 5,746$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 33c | 5,706$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.48 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…cde1backed No | 3c | 5,614$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed No | 15c | 5,280$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed No | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…cbf4backed No | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 80c | 4,817$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 12c | 4,757$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 6c | 4,650$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd8…f8c7backed No | 1c | 4,591$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 3c | 4,579$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…8bdebacked Yes | 78c | 4,397$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 20c | 4,325$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 26c | 4,295$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e3…edc7backed Yes | 73c | 4,108$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked No | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked No | 13c | 3,920$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 75c | 3,891$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed Yes | 63c | 3,858$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…fbf1backed No | 13c | 3,843$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa7…eb68backed Yes | 66c | 3,812$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…0b2fbacked No | 8c | 3,688$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 9c | 3,682$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.84 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 70c | 3,468$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…d9aabacked Yes | 71c | 3,416$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed No | 10c | 3,400$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47a…3c11backed No | 2c | 3,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 24c | 3,325$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.11 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…6428backed Yes | 66c | 3,198$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb20…d0bdbacked Yes | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…e174backed No | 19c | 2,984$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 28c | 2,966$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…5f13backed Yes | 76c | 2,957$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…4df4backed Yes | 62c | 2,903$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 1c | 2,898$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Yes | 69c | 2,890$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95f…f988backed Yes | 69c | 2,820$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 16c | 2,813$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.28 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee5…2b96backed No | 1c | 2,754$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 28c | 2,736$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…7847backed No | 1c | 2,712$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed No | 10c | 2,658$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.