Olympics · resolved market
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x346e8afb46835a9a9eada865f4a93cca93848a442c0cd3c0586be2aa4fde0454
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,714,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $938,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,714,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7432…c16abacked Yes | 0c | 104,592$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…e838backed Yes | 2c | 65,269$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 1c | 56,863$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.42 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Yes | 1c | 56,339$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 46,935$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.25 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 43,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 41,681$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 0c | 38,696$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed Yes | 0c | 37,373$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 34,996$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.35 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 0c | 34,341$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 1c | 33,648$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.34 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…541cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,120$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 1c | 30,018$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.75 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 1c | 22,421$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.68 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…2ff3backed Yes | 0c | 22,043$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 1c | 20,198$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.32 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 1c | 18,712$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 15,157$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.23 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3963…f6b6backed Yes | 1c | 14,578$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…a356backed Yes | 0c | 14,502$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed Yes | 2c | 14,155$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes | 0c | 13,773$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 13,078$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…8a58backed Yes | 2c | 12,482$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 1c | 12,159$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…3d54backed Yes | 1c | 11,285$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 2c | 10,760$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 9,900$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 8,887$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.65 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…293bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes | 1c | 8,500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…4018backed Yes | 1c | 8,392$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…9396backed Yes | 0c | 8,333$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 0c | 8,008$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 0c | 7,900$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf462…a984backed Yes | 1c | 7,823$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…f68fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,663$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Yes | 1c | 7,630$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Yes | 0c | 6,580$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7382…98c4backed Yes | 3c | 5,975$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…2f07backed Yes | 2c | 5,752$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…a5ecbacked Yes | 1c | 5,750$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 1c | 5,548$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…7c20backed Yes | 1c | 5,439$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa7…eb68backed Yes | 2c | 5,078$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd5…d861backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07c…aa73backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…250dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 1c | 4,606$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…2481backed Yes | 1c | 4,384$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb3…0747backed Yes | 2c | 4,249$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 0c | 4,084$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…28bebacked Yes | 2c | 4,035$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 3,947$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af7…9f48backed Yes | 3c | 3,886$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 3,614$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…9cf3backed Yes | 1c | 3,371$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 3,301$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…6a8dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2efd…44c9backed Yes | 2c | 3,283$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…a66abacked Yes | 2c | 3,170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 1c | 3,116$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 2,949$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Yes | 1c | 2,930$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…c5e7backed Yes | 1c | 2,775$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8721…4adebacked Yes | 1c | 2,718$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1acd…c664backed Yes | 0c | 2,630$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87c…dba5backed Yes | 0c | 2,572$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…0f1fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,564$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061d…48eabacked Yes | 1c | 2,506$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 2c | 2,494$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…d131backed Yes | 1c | 2,473$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…f1f9backed Yes | 2c | 2,381$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…fd30backed Yes | 2c | 2,308$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd8…f8c7backed Yes | 0c | 2,296$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 0c | 2,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…ec29backed Yes | 1c | 2,198$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…f0f5backed Yes | 1c | 2,195$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,178$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,040$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -82%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f53…06debacked Yes | 2c | 2,036$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…9ad6backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0185…79c7backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…3f8dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea0…5adfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,970$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd3…5c96backed Yes | 2c | 1,945$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a3…d653backed Yes | 1c | 1,920$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…b0b3backed Yes | 1c | 1,872$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4280backed Yes | 1c | 1,759$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…4c5cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Yes | 2c | 1,585$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0a…1fd4backed Yes | 1c | 1,585$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.