Olympics · resolved market
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce29db59a285f72505aa3369a54453e5010597bdd4641738508f0cd60f8b1e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,161,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $786,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,161,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7432…c16abacked Yes | 1c | 73,124$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 2c | 73,104$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.88 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 36,218$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd8…f8c7backed Yes | 0c | 33,852$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 2c | 30,553$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.11 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes | 1c | 25,837$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.63 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 3c | 22,001$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.26 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 2c | 20,016$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.32 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 16,245$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.94 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c73…44f4backed Yes | 6c | 14,529$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 1c | 14,048$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 13,780$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.19 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…0390backed Yes | 1c | 13,402$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 5c | 12,969$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.59 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a73…c046backed Yes | 2c | 12,350$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.8 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d95…74ffbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 11,196$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 14c | 10,892$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8721…4adebacked Yes | 0c | 10,771$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70a…8d2dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…a886backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 2c | 9,436$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.07 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes | 1c | 9,155$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…fd30backed Yes | 1c | 8,648$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Yes | 7c | 8,100$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 7,780$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cf…53a1backed Yes | 1c | 7,536$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes | 5c | 7,357$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…3572backed Yes | 3c | 7,047$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…a66abacked Yes | 1c | 6,749$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…dbdebacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed Yes | 1c | 5,973$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af7…9f48backed Yes | 1c | 5,771$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf74…08babacked Yes | 2c | 5,644$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Yes | 7c | 5,556$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.07 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…a9a9backed Yes | 1c | 5,476$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 6c | 5,201$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,108$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efd…44c9backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…2a2fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,943$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…6c59backed Yes | 2c | 4,740$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…0ac6backed Yes | 2c | 4,630$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb6…ccecbacked Yes | 0c | 4,561$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 7c | 4,300$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…b926backed Yes | 5c | 4,224$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 3c | 4,200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e40…5b6abacked Yes | 2c | 4,106$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 3,905$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 6c | 3,600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x115c…f309backed Yes | 2c | 3,521$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…bb81backed Yes | 1c | 3,477$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 9c | 3,297$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…e174backed Yes | 2c | 3,262$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 2c | 3,252$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 9c | 3,157$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 2,934$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 0c | 2,757$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3929…c3f2backed Yes | 2c | 2,654$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadad…f309backed Yes | 1c | 2,643$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…6e86backed Yes | 2c | 2,599$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…c72cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 6c | 2,309$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Yes | 1c | 2,245$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…012dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,242$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 2,132$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 8c | 2,080$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…dc9abacked Yes | 0c | 2,051$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9173…bed3backed Yes | 5c | 2,019$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…85b0backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…da23backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…7addbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a54…d776backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,983$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…0540backed Yes | 1c | 1,931$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…b12dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,614$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 4c | 1,596$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68fd…e51abacked Yes | 2c | 1,570$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…56d3backed Yes | 1c | 1,565$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed Yes | 14c | 1,533$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…8692backed Yes | 3c | 1,472$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…5306backed Yes | 1c | 1,371$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 10c | 1,309$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.19 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3465…7082backed Yes | 4c | 1,297$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…f383backed Yes | 1c | 1,295$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…8a58backed Yes | 3c | 1,271$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…3e02backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…f33abacked Yes | 2c | 1,176$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…ee1ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,105$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,005$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.