Olympics · resolved market
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2476b35db9ad17b163872e46f61455ba6c7b5495fe660bdae8090c880fbe947b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $616,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $616,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 100,870$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.22 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 83,081$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.52 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 4c | 18,348$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.27 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 17,331$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 2c | 12,825$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.74 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 4c | 10,997$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.71 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 2c | 9,900$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 3c | 9,616$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.95 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd8…f8c7backed Yes | 0c | 6,896$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 6,771$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ce…a249backed Yes | 2c | 6,685$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 4c | 6,351$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 3c | 6,290$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 5,924$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 2c | 5,606$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 1c | 5,288$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…c72cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 2c | 4,950$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 2c | 4,714$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…c079backed Yes | 1c | 4,198$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 2c | 3,757$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 3c | 3,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…a5ecbacked Yes | 3c | 3,330$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 1c | 3,220$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100b…7a49backed Yes | 2c | 3,152$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 3c | 2,836$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 2,711$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed Yes | 1c | 2,555$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed Yes | 2c | 2,184$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,154$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c73…44f4backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…dc18backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…7addbacked Yes | 2c | 1,903$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,855$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -82%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 1,764$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 1,716$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…b18cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,650$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 1c | 1,587$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 3c | 1,562$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,482$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 7c | 1,405$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…250dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,398$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa7…eb68backed Yes | 4c | 1,359$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Yes | 1c | 1,239$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0689…192abacked Yes | 3c | 1,215$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd732…ebb4backed Yes | 4c | 1,138$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 5c | 1,094$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 1,018$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac6…117dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0185…79c7backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 973.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Yes | 2c | 937.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 2c | 843$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…3865backed Yes | 4c | 825.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1e0fbacked Yes | 3c | 803.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6e…2100backed Yes | 2c | 794.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…eb55backed Yes | 2c | 789.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aed…3b84backed Yes | 2c | 776$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…f79bbacked Yes | 2c | 775$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…3830backed Yes | 3c | 703.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 681.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8e…00abbacked Yes | 3c | 646.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…afd3backed Yes | 2c | 627$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked Yes | 3c | 613$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…478fbacked Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Yes | 2c | 550.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 2c | 546$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 4c | 540.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Yes | 3c | 503.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…b7b5backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5476…d88bbacked Yes | 2c | 481$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2334…cd00backed Yes | 4c | 476.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…a8efbacked Yes | 4c | 466.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Yes | 4c | 364.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed Yes | 4c | 347.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…7cc5backed Yes | 3c | 336.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…d62fbacked Yes | 6c | 317.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 4c | 270$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed Yes | 13c | 119.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.