TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x014c…820c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
295
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7126.8%19 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,623Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,623.19
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.96
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.6
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+560.5%+$2,579.11
Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.37
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.4
Will Lamine Yamal score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.81
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.41
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,570.27
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.46
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.63
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.25
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.69
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+152.6%+$4,837.79
Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.31
Will France win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.25
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+309.9%+$2,867.36
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$249.81
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$738.42
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.65
Will Erling Haaland score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Will Erling Haaland score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.34
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Token Launcheslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-65.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.96
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.16
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$565.31
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+63%+$699.94
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+137.7%+$795.62
Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.07
Arcium FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.45
Citrea FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.03
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.22
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.9
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,214.3
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$961.22
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$9,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,607.88
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.47
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.87
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.87
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.18
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,411Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+132.3%+$3,189
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.19
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$712Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$712.43
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-39.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.27
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.41
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,702Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$824.97
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$539.08
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.16
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.74
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$66,972Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$18,548.16
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,796Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$477.33
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$379.2
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11,466Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7,330.83
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.16
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,228.88
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.15
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.66
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$631.58
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,757
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,967Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,744.64
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$298.06
Will Keshad Johnson win the 2026 NBA dunk contest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$3,089.5
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$147.47
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.48
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.15
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,859.3
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.84
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.36
Will Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Will Train Dreams - Train Dreams win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$66.79
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.72
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.43
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$922Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$323.9
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+1,801.4%+$928.69
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.49
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-71.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,679Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$648.79
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,098
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Will Solana reach $150 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.37
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$344.08
Will Solana reach $120 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.9
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.92
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$208.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$793.22
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$87.43
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.24
Will XRP reach $2.40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$81.56
All 14 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-68.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.71
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$53.58
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$117.48
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$437.42
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$407.56
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$103.17
Will Switzerland win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$95.88
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$44.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$125.58
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.19
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,168.03
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,767Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$751.9
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.36
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+525%+$451.58
Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.66
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-67.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,032.64
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$129.64
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$886Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$886.24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,743.4
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$206.6
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.88
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$895.9
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.22
All 10 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-81.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a player from the United States of America win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$87.59
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.82
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.1
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.8
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.38
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.4
Will Tiger Woods win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-73.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.2
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.31
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$571.41
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.17
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.46
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.05
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$175.33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.7
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.51
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-66.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid-37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-61.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+419.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,867Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+37%+$1,060.56
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+143.9%+$813.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,562.2
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,193Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,058.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.