Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7c341e6a9ff6b906bfdac14c2fe42bf2360c637cf8bc2c2bca65ecfa57d32c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $499,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $459,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 20c | 14,786$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.92 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 49c | 13,126$6,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,679.12 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…c369backed Yes | 22c | 10,089$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 10c | 8,300$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.68 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 6c | 7,765$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.66 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 31c | 7,054$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.97 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 11c | 3,983$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.6 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 13c | 3,502$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.32 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked No | 68c | 3,240$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.81 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 45c | 3,008$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.38 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 2,442$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.35 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…37f4backed Yes | 6c | 2,370$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.61 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 72c | 2,328$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.79 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…760dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,218$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.61 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 36c | 2,195$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.95 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed No | 56c | 1,999$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa356…2128backed Yes | 20c | 1,995$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 8c | 1,946$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…230abacked Yes | 5c | 1,907$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,856$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.26 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 62c | 1,778$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.78 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cd77backed Yes | 18c | 1,768$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed No | 78c | 1,708$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.03 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,661$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed Yes | 10c | 1,660$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…fccabacked Yes | 36c | 1,539$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…04f2backed Yes | 5c | 1,518$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…7a89backed Yes | 3c | 1,444$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +161.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 21c | 1,263$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.11 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6backed Yes | 12c | 1,244$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…c692backed Yes | 8c | 1,200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e9…5a24backed Yes | 15c | 1,192$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 9c | 1,125$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 22c | 1,056$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.1 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 14c | 1,036$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…52c4backed Yes | 11c | 1,010$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 4cpaid | +842%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 11c | 999.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…fa4abacked Yes | 10c | 956.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…b180backed Yes | 9c | 931.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…dadabacked Yes | 10c | 892$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…cb06backed Yes | 10c | 891.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed Yes | 21c | 761.68$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.83 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…0b73backed Yes | 9c | 757.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…0ed7backed Yes | 4c | 729.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 12c | 721.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 27c | 679$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…5985backed Yes | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…61bebacked Yes | 28c | 632.09$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…9a3dbacked Yes | 19c | 626.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 8c | 575.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…5506backed Yes | 14c | 572.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…5d8bbacked Yes | 10c | 514.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…a2fabacked Yes | 18c | 508.3$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked Yes | 7c | 505.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…61e1backed Yes | 16c | 505.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 4c | 500.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 29c | 500$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd326…6d12backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…4063backed Yes | 13c | 492.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed No | 51c | 487.96$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Yes | 15c | 479.41$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5763…1c22backed No | 59c | 463.55$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 458.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…f447backed Yes | 18c | 458.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b63…1522backed Yes | 25c | 456.72$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 15c | 438.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes | 21c | 433.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…e4edbacked Yes | 18c | 430.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yes | 16c | 429.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…425abacked Yes | 12c | 428.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…c69ebacked Yes | 21c | 422$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…e629backed Yes | 18c | 411.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 8c | 406.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 49c | 400$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed No | 78c | 353.76$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 15c | 335.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…34bcbacked Yes | 20c | 328.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…cf8abacked Yes | 8c | 317.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…ad7fbacked Yes | 51c | 317.48$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.99 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe616…a30abacked Yes | 11c | 289.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…fa71backed Yes | 25c | 285.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1874…594fbacked No | 40c | 284.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…2711backed Yes | 26c | 277.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…7e2cbacked No | 80c | 277$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…8e52backed Yes | 8c | 276.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…d2bfbacked Yes | 7c | 269.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…015cbacked Yes | 10c | 266.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…94f7backed Yes | 16c | 258.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cc…6afbbacked Yes | 5c | 257.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2f…0e45backed Yes | 26c | 252.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…681abacked No | 75c | 251.92$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…879abacked Yes | 7c | 243.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…4347backed Yes | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…3728backed Yes | 13c | 225$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8042…82a7backed Yes | 16c | 214.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc883…4ea1backed No | 68c | 204.24$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…8614backed Yes | 14c | 203.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $46,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 29-July 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 29-July 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.